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Good morning, today episode. Ukraine threatened that it will hit Russia an unprecedented number of drones. Chinese banks started blocking payments from Russia in IUAN. Areoflot has started to get rid of business class on their planes. Russia increased exports bustards by sea in in connection with the incidents in refineries. We invite you.

Good morning, this is where I’m at Mateusz Lech and Paweł Jeżowski, and I obviously have it problem with the pronunciation of areoflot. Every time I make a mistake in pronunciation. There’s a “ły” there, but it’s… Areoflot… it is what it is. Hello, dear viewers. Immediately a great appeal.

There must be some directive from us here. 80 people left to cross threshold of 34 thousand subscribers. So if you don’t do this for unknown reasons, please press this button because we we are happy every time when this number passes. So after episode three phone calls to friends and family.

Say “Kremlinka is nice is”, come in, see. And I’m now giving the floor to Paweł. Yes, if you want to join also to the group and family Kremlinki, to support channel, we are missing 23 people. Tomorrow will be the latest list of people who came through

The last few days when it comes to patrons and supporters. We are very happy with this. Thanks to you, they are created everyday economical views, our comments. Magnifiers with Marek, China, many new ones formats, and we are talking about new ones too.

I don’t know which one it is direction it’s heading or something television, however We have no shortage of ideas. And we’re moving on, listen now to belt, well, not good news today. In general, this is probably something that can be enjoyable it is still a high, valuable brand.

Today we will talk in the morning and… comment a lot about Europe, because I think so is one of the most important topics, when it comes to the Russian economy today. And when it comes to currencies, well then the euro is approaching 101 if

It’s about the dollar, so we’re getting closer to, at this point even, I mean, we’re close to 93, w in the case of the yuan, that’s the same situation it’s not very good there, although probably the best. And as for gas, well We have the second day of declines

After these increases, after correction previous declines. It seems to be here all the time this gas oscillates between 21, 22, and 30 and is moving now in this sideways trend. We’ll see how it goes in the spring, eh will happen if the Norwegians finish

Your renovations, what will happen if Freeport will end in Texas, because then more can be released gas, at this point increased deliveries to Asia, which affects how if positively on these gas prices. I probably forgot something else. And of course the weather, Well, spring is coming, so

Here it’s demand it will also fall. We have quite a high occupancy rate warehouses when it comes to spring, and this won’t change until autumn, and new players will also appear. We will be there tomorrow talk with Ola Fedorska on about Germany and on gas topic, but not only that.

Two-hour material, listen, and in my opinion probably the best so far, when it comes to the interview. At least that’s how I perceive it. Let’s see what yours are there will be thoughts here. For me this is a bomb interview, Ola she did great in this interview, very much

Substantive, and also very critical, if this is especially true of the current chancellor. Or maybe just a little introduction, Aleksandra is here German correspondent, living in Germany. Here we have a truly expert topic, additionally staying in the country for two years.

Yes, there will also be tidbits about it green energy, regarding boiler replacements for heating oil, which Ola also needs to do, as many Germans do at this point. Lots of interesting stuff, like I say almost two hours, in my opinion, per

It’s definitely worth it if someone watches Kryminka regularly, a very important interview. Thanks Chris, we’re getting through for short information. We start with the good ones, of course. We start with the good ones, v February 2024 buckwheat price in Russia it decreased by 5% compared to February 2023.

On average, up to 81 rubles per 1 kilogram. Also in February same year price red caviar fell by 3% on an annual basis. Average cost of one kilogram at taste is 6155 rubles, so any recipes for buckwheat with caviar for sure They will not be more expensive than last year.

Paweł, you know buckwheat from caviar, any recipes? No, that’s what I’m wondering. We will try to get some good news every day, so that there will be balance, so that it won’t be like this, that indeed more of the bad guys appear. Well, we will try.

I guess we’ll move on now to bad or very bad information. pharmaceutical substances, from which they are made medicines in 2023 in Russia prices increased by an average of 26%. Up to $116 per kilogram, that is some average price, of course. According to the company’s report analytical DSM Group, if

Let’s count it in rubles, that would be a 50% increase. But buckwheat is cheaper, Paweł. Well, tell those people what happened to this one disease will happen, but you can just… Eat more buckwheat. Buckwheat with caviar. Security advisor US national team member, Jake Sullivan, visited

Kyiv, met with the head of the office President of Ukraine, Andrei Yermak. The U.S. presidential administration does not is still ready to announce deliveries ATACMS missiles, but will continue efforts to support Ukraine. Okay, we’ll see, for now The US is sort of in the car a little bit of support, frozen hard.

Well, yes, we do have a statement from the website Ukrainian that it is developing defense systems air and high precision missiles, similar to the American HIMARS systems. Interesting statement, interesting whether in fact and whether in this this year something like this will appear, because it would be a breakthrough for sure.

Yes, I wonder if these are announcements or actual such implementation possibilities. Ukraine received a package from Canada aid amounting to USD 1.5 billion. The government uses this money country intends to compensate budget deficit said premier of Ukraine, Denis Schmychal. This is another big money and more very needed by Ukraine at this moment.

Yes, we also already have information that like we announced that this would happen in March, The European Union announced that it had passed Ukraine has already received the first tranche of… also amounting to EUR 1.5 billion EUR 50 billion program by 2027. Here we have Borrel’s statement.

Another good news for Ukraine. The Spanish authorities can provide a new batch of military aid that provides for up to 20 Leopard 2 A4 tanks. We’ll see how long it lasts how long it will last and where it will end.

Apparently a long time. Here the Spaniards so far They weren’t in the woods when it came to deliveries. This help was, however she wasn’t that great. Here it is also said that it is necessary some renovations and restorations, so probably mid-2024 year, that’s what I would expect.

However, we have an announcement from the Netherlands, which I’ll pass it on, well, this is another announcement of the next one country that says it will hand over the US F-16 fighters at the beginning of the second half of 2024. This is what the minister says Netherlands defense Olo Ngren.

Ukraine is also discussing possibilities of using Russian frozen assets as securing the issue of euro bonds. Said Prime Minister of Ukraine Shmychalmy. We also talked about this some time ago. Talks are still ongoing. Maybe the agreements will stay achieved, especially since

The summit of the European Union, I guess soon, so maybe it will be… Yes, we will tell each other about that just at the end, because probably not. But wait. The Ukrainian authorities have made a decision about the closure of the website from list of international sponsors war after appeals from partner countries.

Website from list will stop working. Users will stay redirected to a section of the Council portal National Security and Defense with the state sanctions register. And it’s on demand France and Germany. I think it gets tempered in this Ukraine’s a little bit of cicitricity at the moment.

They get too much they overplayed, they pressed too hard and at this point it is it’s a bit choked. I think it’s like this… Looking at next statement, probably not entirely. In Kiev, the idea of ​​​​granting by the United States aid to the country in the form of loans is considered offensive.

This is what Politico reports, citing sources close to office of the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky. Paul, Paul, Paul. A, Politics and similar, anonymous sources. Well, well, yes. Yeah. True. It’s not reliable. French authorities are considering possibility of sending a European mission military to the border areas Ukraine with Belarus, i.e. to Poland.

In a relationship, I guess, or to Belarus? That is, to Ukraine from Belarus. To Ukraine. Okay. In order to release army units to fight Ukrainian ones located in this region. This is a very good idea in my opinion. I have to ask Alexander about this today Olech, because I will record with him.

Yes, this is just information, listen, which comes from the Supreme Council, Oleksii Nuga-Czarenko, like that statement, i.e. on the Ukrainian side. We have no confirmation on the French side. However, listen, this is not an idea because this idea was proposed by Polish Deputy Prime Minister Jarosław Kaczyński, if anyone remembers,

So we reheat very interesting idea that actually if for it to be implemented, sure would help the Ukrainian side a lot, but he could lead until the beginning of World War III. We also have to take this into account. And that’s why he was there then rejected, yet

Because it’s from the website Polish one probably failed, but this idea apparently existed also put forward by the French side, since Ukrainians are raising it now, at least that’s what it would seem. And we will move on to such more economic information from Russia.

The great port of Saint Petersburg, he is that’s what he calls it, it’s not that he’s great, he held the reloading of saltpetre in in connection with the drone attacks in February. In the future, the authorities they plan to move transhipment Saltpeter outside the city, presumably for service.

This will lead to loss by port 3 million tons of cargo per year. At the same time, unfortunately, the service She’s not ready for the party yet Saltpeter because the port must modernize your infrastructure. If I remember correctly, then probably big warehouses somewhere Saltpeter once exploded and it was a huge explosion.

Well, let them try quickly, that it’s too much, that it doesn’t fit, that’s cool. From what I understand, the situation that St. Petersburg does not accept, and the service is not accepting yet and we are in limbo. And no one accepts, but you know what will be, we must accept,

Do it quickly, here store it here, but it doesn’t fit here. Store in layers and then one drone and there will be no entire port. Generally they have two ports ones that support this one region and they want one store a lot of saltpetre.

Sounds like a very good plan for me, the drone plan. Trade turnover between Russia and Japan in February this year compared with the same period last year year decreased by 16.5% to USD 690 million. Exports from Japan to Russia fell by 33% in February, and 94% fewer devices began to arrive in Russia

Medical, i.e. Japan actually cut off Russia for medical devices, you could say. Yes, for sure, because there is an embargo after all, means there is no money for medical devices, but they are dual use, as rescuers they get caught for some reason.

However, the promised information listen when it comes to the EU summit European Union, we have information from Deutsche Welle, at least that’s what it says, that a senior EU diplomat claims that Hungary opposed the confiscation income from frozen assets Russia and purchases will be prohibited for Ukraine.

The decision on this matter is no will fall on the peak which just started in Brussels, as previously assumed. So we have Hungary again, which will probably be forced, but it will be dragged out for another 2-3 months. This mechanism should be some way this Hungary worked out, because everyone…

I mean, it’s simple, remove them. I know, but all Hungarians? This sounds bad. Remove from the European Union. Preferably yes. And join the Soviet Union. Yes, wherever they want. Chechen authorities. As I say, they are close. I left it for you especially this information.

Thank you. The Chechen authorities will begin to identify cases of inappropriate behavior, which is contrary to Chechen culture and mentality on social media. This order was issued by the Minister youth affairs, 18-year-old Akhmad Kadyrov. Ahmad is the oldest son of the Chechen leader, that is

Probably the oldest minister at this point after 18 years. Well, no, he’s the youngest, but he’s coming back. Okay, I wanted to make a joke about the others they probably already have ministerial portfolios as well. What was appointed here for the position of minister to

A bit of youth issues over a month ago, February 17. Inappropriate behavior that is contradictory with Chechen culture and mentality. Interesting things may come out there. You see, 18 years here, already a career. But what a conservative attitude. Yes.

NO? You know, he’s so young he would like to go crazy, but here he is, no. Well respect here both religious and political recommendations. Well, here in Chechnya maybe be quite interesting in the near future, you could say months already, well, not even years. Cheating is quite radical.

And of course we’re looking at those Chechen militias and for this participation. However, both Chechnya and and Ingushetia, we see that they are federal Russian law does not reach there at this point, and there is Sharia law. Marek, welcome to the Kremlinka team. Remember, like live you will manage to join

To the team, always We’ll be happy to show you. And now I’m probably passing to this longer message. Listen, a longer cover message. Ukraine threatened to strike Russia in unprecedented numbers drones, i.e. the same as before something happened, I guess it’s not the end. Ukraine deprived of ammunition and military personnel

Achieved what last year at least one significant success. Neutralize the Black Sea fleet by sinking it her 30th, here it is, listen, it’s written ships from Russian, but I understand ships, many people corrected me here. Now he intends to repeat this achievement behind Russia’s back lines, excluding oil refining infrastructure,

Which supplies the aggressor’s army with fuel and the government in petrodollars, sustaining the country economically. As with the fleet, the main one Drones are the means to achieve this goal. With each passing month on Russian territory, there will be more of them more and more, said Michał Fedorow, minister

Digital transformation that responds in Ukraine, supervises properly, but does not answer, the production of drones. The number of long-range drones will be unprecedented. According to JP Morgan Chase, Ukrainian attacks they disabled the production capacity of approximately 900,000 barrels a day, which I think Paweł was talking about yesterday.

Banking politicians write that it may take several days to return to production months, but it is still shrouded in mystery, because as we made you an episode, it’s very difficult to estimate, as in the case sanctions and such a rush of renovations what this process will look like.

One of the goals of attacks on the refinery is to reduce revenues the Russian budget from exports, which we also mentioned to you, that these fuel exports are at a higher margin than crude oil, but it may also weaken the supply of the aggressor’s armed forces.

Francisco Sierra Martins, this young boy from covers, is the general manager of the terminal autonomy established last year in the US a company producing drones in Ukraine. He calls drones a new form of war for non-destruction. He also stated that

They learn something every day. Yeah if they make so many of these drones and attacks they carry out, well, they have a little bit work system, probably like Elon Musk and these their rockets, falcons, every now and then they start, draw conclusions and create new ones.

Francisco said, “Russia is gas station with an army and we’re going to destroy it. We focus on where we can hit hardest, that is, on financial resources. Even if the drones fail to blow up the object, what we observed yesterday Paweł, where were the attacks and they failed,

Russian defense systems will have to fire rockets into them, which can cost up to 40 times more than the drone itself. So in this case they exist as well economic benefits,” adds Sierra Martins. “Ukraine’s leaders seem to feel that even if they have to defend themselves, they must continue

Continue to harm Russia.” This is Peter’s statement Schroeder, a senior CIA analyst for Russia. What began as a largely symbolic attempt transfer of war into enemy territory last year,

Referring to the attack on the Kremlin on the night of May 3, I don’t know Do you remember that a drone hit the roof of the Kremlin there? has become a large-scale campaign aimed at damage to strategic objectives. They have attacks

Also aimed at exerting psychological pressure, said a spokesman for another drone manufacturer, because these drone manufacturers in Ukraine this has now multiplied because Moscow tries to make sure there is no war had an impact on people’s everyday lives. You’ve probably heard about this too, people somewhere a little further they didn’t feel it

This war, but now public opinion he begins to think that this applies to them too. However, the important topic here is how they react regional governors who previously reassured but in the areas where these drones fly, constantly they report attacks and start to panic a little,

Even though the authorities, the main ones, are trying to mitigate the effect. As long as the refineries on European parts of Russia they won’t lose half their powers, drone attacks are unlikely to have a significant impact on the course of the military operation and this

There is an interesting opinion of an expert on matters oil and gas market, Mikhail Krutkin. The civilian sector will suffer, however, the cream in the name of war is ready, never mind, a market expert oil and gas, cream in the name of war is ready

Sacrifice a lot and supply the army will most likely be his priority, while other consumers of gasoline and diesel fuel, including producers farmers may have problems as well this is very interesting information, which we predicted, however these experts notice it too. This cannot cause disruption in deliveries, shortages at stations

Petrol and of course the new one round of retail price increases, and ultimately the prices of all goods delivered by land, but here I think it shouldn’t be there, no, because it can be here, that this may cause supply disruptions. Yes, we are waiting for these 50%, do you think it will work?

50% for finerya turn off? No, I don’t think so, because that’s a lot. Okay, but we don’t know how many drones the Ukrainians are preparing. There are suspicions that in the case of some refineries were attacked from the territory Russian, but if there are attacks from Russian territory, then yes, there are chances.

We’ll see if the Russians do they’ll get the hang of it when it comes to defense anti-aircraft and these armored vehicles, At the moment it looks like not. However, let us remember it’s not simple action without having missiles and having only these drones. But definitely still We’ll hear about drones, right?

You’re telling me something that this is not the end. Well, they said we would hear it. Yes, it’s true, nothing today or yesterday it was, but I would have expected attacks as well I would expect sabotage because we are just watching these drones, while here we can imagine.

There’s probably something like an ortho loop that you have action, then you collect the results, later you change and again. And maybe it is first round, they draw some conclusions. Looks like this was planned for elections and it ended as planned

And it’s probably planned there in some time time, we don’t know exactly for what time. And they just go by plan, or rather it looks like this, because we are looking there for something has been discontinued, I don’t think so.

It just had to be put on at the time for the elections in Russia and it will probably happen now next wave and maybe not necessarily on refinery, because we are also establishing these refineries all the time. And here it begs for other bets, including military ones, were attacked.

Now I’ll ask you for the first one part of the slogan, because we are the viewers they reminded us that we did not provide it the first part yet. Standing. Standing. All right. Standing. Okay, stop bragging so much. Because I’ll give you the second one right away, so watch out.

Yes, we’ll get to that next, listen, information. Chinese banks have started blocking payments from Russia in yuan, large Chinese banks stopped accept payments in yuan from Russia and began to refund such transactions to customers. At least 8 institutions banking and lending found among those who they refused Russian payments.

Among them, Ping’an Bank, Bank of Nanguo, Great Wall West China, Dongkuan Rural Commercial, China Wanghua, Kunshan Rural Commercial, Shenzhen Rural Commercial, and China Zhejiang. Payments in yuan do not transfer to this by banks with international participation. Well, they are listed here Citibank, J.P. Morgan, Paris Bank, Deutsche Bank, Mitsuo Bank, Standard Bank, HSBC.

Most of these banks have stopped conduct transactions with Russian ones customers for some time, yes say interlocutors in the banking sector. Chinese institutions credit cards block payments in yuan from the very beginning January, and it’s getting worse. Additionally, new restrictions are caused by raids related to

The possibility of introducing sanctions secondary from the United States. So we see that what is happening what’s happening in Turkey is also happening in China. Some banks have already notified theirs customers that they are temporarily suspending transactions yuan with Russia, but not officially have published such information yet.

Refusal to accept payments in yuan will make it more difficult for Russian companies making settlements. These are the predictions Russian experts. According to them, settlement is possible will continue in several ways. Via Russian banks that make payments are still accepted in China, let’s see which one

Because it happens here too, just like some we said a while ago, it stayed limited as well as for through partners in Hong Kong. And we have these here as well information that previously we stated that it was is also limited. At the same time, about 80% Russian companies that regularly

Cooperate with China, opens its branches in friendly countries, which are not yet covered by sanctions, i.e this is where we have to go, exactly what we said happens looking for third countries, to be able to trade with China. An unprecedented situation and very disturbing because

They started doing the same, as far as Turkey is concerned. And now from these countries third parties is also limited quantity, because we are talking here mainly about Central Asia, but not only because we say, for example, yet about such strange ones destinations like Singapore.

But this is also for some time may be reduced. As we saw, for example, the case United Arab Emirates, which has been recognized so far for a safe and friendly country. However, when it comes to about recent events, it looks quite strong also limits these payments.

I just have a question for you, because you said it’s just like in Turkey, and we remember that in Turkey now the decrease in import and export is 30%. It’s not there yet. Exactly, but in situation if this happened in China, it’s for Russia is a drama.

Such a decline, because, you know, Türkiye is still there something, but they are extremely dependent on China. It’s hard to imagine, but that’s how it is it looks like it’s definitely going to be a hassle. There’s a problem when it comes to 2024 for secondary sanctions.

The European Union announces another one the package only covers secondary sanctions. Of course, Hungary is against it, however there is a chance that it will also be introduced. And the next ones will be there, and you can see that Americans are quite active. Well, who is behind it if not them? Yes.

Because despite the fact that the party and the Chinese president here they are against, but life, life. Okay, let’s go then next, because we already have over 30 minutes. The AeroFlot group decided to get rid of the class business on several Superjet 100 aircraft

Due to the lack of 100 local planes on resort and tourist routes. This results from the group’s investment program. A replacement is planned 12 business class seats incl 9 planes with 25 seats in economy class. The company will spend over 331 million rubles on increasing the aircraft’s capacity by 13 seats.

Components will be removed from defective ones planes, donor planes, so here we have full cannibalism. Reconfiguration of 9 planes from configuration economy two-class to one-class will increase the capacity of the Superjet fleet in 2024 by 3,700 places, in 2025 by 89,000 places, and in 2026, almost 104,000 places.

This will also enable you to obtain additional income from sales economic places for over 300 million rubles per year. As indicated in the project investment, so investment payback period it’s less than 3 years. This is important because maybe someone is watching us after for the first time, the Russians have plans

Build over 600 aircraft by 2030 passenger cars and now their possibilities allow for insertion more chairs in their own cannibalized planes. That’s within the framework summary, at what stage is the implementation of Russian ones aviation plans? Paul thinks it’s good solution, co-opt places, increase ticket prices and it will pay off.

You know what, when the number of applicants decreases for business class, even though… I guess it’s not even about decreasing, only about congestion in the capacities of those resorts, especially resorts their own tourist ones. Yep, just there you have to think about it, because FAS kind of regulates now air ticket prices,

Is this even the case? profitable because he sets it their prices, so the airlines have theirs prices, and he says, but this is how much it will cost. Maybe that’s why they drop out of class business, because when all…

Yes, I suspect they are cutting costs that FAS is probably interested in the cheapest ones, I mean this class economical, and this class business somehow works out probably not interested in it, so it says minimum price, does there have to be one like that?

And like if you cut this one off business class and instead of this business class, in its place for one seat, I don’t know, you can put three or four there, well, maybe it will work out somehow then he calculates better, I suspect.

Jarosław has a question here, Sir Jarosław, I have this feeling that simply all economical they will be included in the business price and then it will even out. No, not really, I think that they will come down but with this price because of this FAS

And they will be afraid, thanks Tobias for the donation, and we listen, let’s go to the information, that we announced. Oil exports from Russia by sea are increasing in connection with incidents at refineries, yes, that sounds official Kremlin, and here we have data for the period

From March 1 to March 15 March, as far as exports, it amounted to 3.66 million barrels per day, according to data from the Kepler analytical company, that is 314 barrels per day more, i.e. 9.4% more than the average in February. The dynamics were influenced by the decline crude oil processing, and listen,

As for February, then in January we had 5.6 million barrels a day, and it was at the beginning of January, a as for February, a decrease of 400,000. barrels per day to 5.2, so we see that in total they send, but 100,000.

Less, and they send even less if they do it’s about fuels, and more about raw oil, we announced it, and these are data for February and March, and we don’t have it yet included these attacks after actually, well, the newest ones, yes, the March ones

After March 13, because that’s it like the beginning of this March. Due to Ukrainian attacks unmanned aerial vehicles to the oil refinery and failures equipment that led to unplanned events production downtime, oil workers they redistributed the lost quantities raw materials for export supplies. And we said, if anyone remembers,

With Tomek even later, well, something like that will happen. And here is the biggest curiosity, here We’ll probably say more about it for a comment, despite limited supplies oil to India in the first half of March by 35%, to China by 11% and Turkey by 3%, exports to an unknown destination increased

Five times to almost 1.23 million barrels a day, so they say Russian experts. An unknown player has appeared. A new, unknown player has appeared, interestingly, it’s a spot one, yes, of course there can be long term supply and those speculative and gray players

There are many oil exports, it it’s not like it’s just one company. The prices are right here too proposed for this player. This player is not asking, but this player nor is he asked what he will do with it next. Let’s remember here too, this is included unknown player all these tankers,

Which were rejected by India, because as India said, they did they won’t take this FALCON and this ESPO, well, it had to be qualified somewhere and it was qualified unknown deliveries. Thus, an increase in oil supplies by sea to Russia which under replaces OPEC adopted commitments to limit exports,

Is partially compensated by limitations fuel supplies to world markets, like we said, not really and OPEC is not entirely interested in this, because they would like to, especially Arabia Saudi, so that there would be a decline in exports crude oil, not fuels, however last week’s attacks on the refinery

Have not yet impacted the data export and may become visible in the coming months, where the situation will get much worse, this is what we read in Russian studies. And what do you say? Maybe I’d like to hear more about 5 p.m. I mean, I’ll listen soon, and viewers will listen more.

Well, let’s talk about it at 5 p.m we will talk, we would like to thank you,