Retired Lt Col Daniel Davis reacts to shifting predictions in the outcome of the Ukraine-Russia war.
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In a jarring reversal of US foreign policy the Biden Administration seems to openly acknowledge that the war on Ukraine will end with diplomacy and lost territory from Ukraine and not through total Ukrainian Victory the White House gave the updated policy aim to Politico and argued this had been America’s
Position throughout the conflict however as friend of the show that galani posted on X arguing Ukraine would have to give up land is something which if you said it six months ago made you Putin’s right-hand man the news comes as America’s European allies encourage the US to send more military aid while
Appraising Aid sent so far here’s a German government spokesperson saying just that also on Ukraine’s list of concerns pension payments the financial times reports that without Western Aid Kev might have to delay paying wages for 500,000 civil servants and 1.4 million teachers as well as benefits for 10 million pensioners reportedly the
Ukrainian government is racing to Cobble together money to pay for public services and benefits after promised funding from his closest allies failed to come through needs 37 billion in external support next year here to discuss the situation in Ukraine and what the West should do front of the
Show and Military expert Daniel Davis and you can catch his show Deep dive on YouTube welcome back once again thanks Robbie good to be here so it’s it’s funny that we’re AR I mean funny is the wrong word for it it’s it’s notable that we’re arriving at a moment that you long
Predicted on this very show where the even the very Pro Ukrainian resistance uh kind of figures pundit class uh government military experts are conceding that the only way out of this situation is negotiation and that that negotiation might be painful for Ukraine but it will you know not result in the
End of the UK entire Ukrainian Nation it will just be some kind of cessation of territory yeah Robbie this is really painful to to be heing now you know now we’re closing on the 2-year Mark of this war when we had a deal almost in the bag
In in March April of 2022 barely a month into the war the outlines of a negotiated settlement were on the table both sides generally agreed to then it was sabotaged either by bis Johnson or or by the US depending on who you want to believe what actually happened all we
Know is that it was absolutely rejected at that time Ukraine could have had even Mari opal was still in their control at that time all these cities that have been wiped out would all have been in their control and I think I did say on your show a couple of times that the
Longer this goes the less territory they have and the worst their negotiated outcome will be but there will be one because Ukraine didn’t have the military capacity to win that should have been self-evident but now then it’s despite all the spin and all the pretending that it was otherwise now you’re left with
The reality that’s finally sinking in that we’re going to have to do a negotiated settlement and unfortunately that’s going to be on much worse terms for zilinsky than it would have been otherwise but so far zilinski still isn’t saying he’s going to do that he’s still talking about his big plans for
2024 so we we got a bit of a problem that’s going to have to be solved pretty quickly I I understand the US incentive here to quote weaken Russia as they admitted very early on into this conflict but I do wonder what zalinsky thought the endgame of this was going to
Be were there what kind of promises were extended um behind closed doors or tacitly that that made zalinski and ukrainians feel like this was a proxy war that would ultimately benefit them when the reality of Russia being a nuclear power with a military that could not be defeated by Ukraine alone and
With the United States having understandable reluctance to engage in World War II in a direct conflict with another nuclear power I mean what on Earth could possibly have been on the minds of ukrainians as a potential ingame here that’s better than what we’re seeing now now it’s really hard
For me to improve on what you just said that that one dialogue there you really laid out the whole thing in pretty star clear language uh historians are going to have to tell us what was actually being said behind the scenes at various points uh we can’t know that for sure
But I I think that probably the biggest issue is that zilinski and many in the west and I’m talking some retired three and fourstar US generals frankly who have been feeding this narrative that they’ve been thinking with their heart and and not with their mind and and look
I get it their country was invaded I mean there there’s every reason for them to hate the Russians and to hate what was done and to want to reverse it that’s that’s clear and and unquestioned but you also have to have the reality involved here it doesn’t matter what you
Want it matters what you can do and what’s reasonable and what’s probable and and the the military balance has been going in Russia’s favor has been in Russia’s favor since February 2024 22 even when they made these horrible egregious mistakes in the first nine months of War they’re big enough to
Overcome those mistakes Ukraine is not and now then they’ve lost an entire generation of men men they’re going to need to to recover their country and to move back into the future and they got to stop the bleeding right now and ending the war on negotiated settlement
Is the absolute best they can get at this point I’m telling you if they don’t agree to it now they’re going to lose even more territory before it’s all over let’s say your perspective was from an American foreign policy perspective Russia is a is a foe a geopolitical foe
Um yeah Ukraine is not going to defeat Russia but we want to make Russia hurt we want to punish them for having done this so we’ll you know we’ll send some money some arbs to Ukraine it’s their people dying in this effort not ours and
Even if it’s not going to work out let’s say the goal is just to punish Russia to hurt them little bit maybe a lot for as long as we conceivably can and now that’s all over from that perspective how much damage did this actually inflict on Russia economically
Militarily Etc Robbie if we had ended this war at about the oneyear Mark uh or even at the the in the the February or March April period of 2022 I mentioned a minute ago Russia would have been harm they would have been significantly damaged but because we didn’t end it now
That Russia has their industry cranking on all cylinders they’re producing new weapons of war that they didn’t even have before they have burned off all of this chaff that they had at the beginning that were these terrible leaders that they had now that they have experienced leaders in in large scale
Operations they’re now getting stronger than they were prior to February not weaker so again the longer we go the worse for our own uh interests are because Russia is going to be stronger conventionally afterwards so we need to turn this off quickly before they get even stronger luten Colonel thank you so
Much as always for joining us today thanks a Lot
39 Comments
What happened to Petraeus and those other generals telling us that Ukraine is winning?
Can't give up what is not yours. The Luhansk and Donetsk Peoples Republic, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions chose to join the Russian Federation in 2023 after 9 years of bravely trying but failing to oust the USA's puppet administrations.
Biden is an imbecile and this was not the policy this crook is a flip flopper. Get trump back in office
So how many billions did we spend there and for what gain or benefit?
The Retired officers were thinking with their wallets not their hearts.
If "conspiracy theorists" would just stop predicting the future correctly, maybe it might not come to pass😂
Really?We know it from the very begining ❗️
Oh no! Ukraine can’t pay for pensions! So US struggling to afford social security, but we are supposed to pay for foreign pensions. Biden is an absolute disgrace.
Something rotten in Denmark. Where’s my share? D*mm*t. More money the Big Guy is really BIG.
All the idiots that believed Ukraine had a chance to win are the same idiots that thought lock downs and Vaccines were the right thing to do. 😂😂😂
This is really going to upset Kinzinger awe
Colonel Davis is the best!
Anyone with a brain knew for the start that Russia would win.
VIVEK 2024
Give up Zelensky – quit destroying your country and your people for your insane NWO ambitions – stop the war, have peace talks now!
NO more of our tax dollars for Ukraine. Will nor pay for their debts. So now we are supposed
to support paying for THEIR teachers ?! NO WAY!
Americans sleep on the street but are forced to pay Ukranian pensions.
well thats what happens when you listen to BOJO the Clown, Ukraine is finished Brexit also a total disaster and finished,.. guess the moral of the story is dont listen to clowns advice………
Russia is reliant on N. Korean shells that are inconsistently made landing short or long of their target, they are reliant on Iran for drones, they are reliant on china for trade and evading santions. russia is defeating itself. U.S., S. Korea, Japan, and EU, are ramping up military production. Over 315,000 dead russain troops, with 2 mobilizations in russia. 2,200 tanks destroyed. Around 1/3 of russian armored vehicles are destroyed. Around 1/5 of russia's black sea fleet destroyed. How is that anything but loosing?
Biden will be fostering reparations for Ukrainians – and for money laundering – duh!
If UA and the US would have been acted properly and on the same level with Putin 10 years ago, UA would be safe, with a full territory and without any destruction!!!
Will anyone remind the audience about the 2014 Maidan Coup orchestrated by Victoria Nuland? Minsk Treaties? Azov?
Zelensky will be taking a trip to the Caribbean soon. He is a complete idiot and a crook. I guarantee he was skimming money as HERSH has already reported. He will either be sent to exile or arrested by time this is over.
The USA will be on hook for all the costs of rebuilding Ukraine. Contractors will be lining up for lucrative US government contracts at the cost of hundreds of billions more in US taxpayer dollars.
But the Ukraine Stan’s on X say Russia has lost 80% of its forces?
The warmonger embezzler, ZIONIST Jew V. Zelensky , would be president of " Greater Israel " Ukraine , is not " well liked " by working class CHRISTIANS in " OUR democracy " USA. It is not enough for an ally to be liked . He must be WELL LIKED .. Which is also true of Willie Loman in Arthur Miller's famous play " Death of a Salesman ".
The mainstream news media in the United States will never succeed in making Zionist APARTHEID Israel " well liked " here.
Bottom line this should have been a biz transaction Russia only needed a lease deal for port access its military and commercial ships and oil exploration. No reason for all this death and destruction
Bidenpromisedallhelptoukrainebutrenegedinnotgivingthemlongrangeballistocmiddiledandfighteraircraft andthatwasunforgivable
the only way Russia wins this war is if we stop giving Ukraine military aid
Trump said it best on CNN when the host Collins tried to get him to pick a winner in Ukraine war. Trump said, I want to stop all the dying!
America used Ukraine for build up NATO's army against Russia. AMERICA FAILED UKRAINE JUST AS HOW THEY WILL FAILED OCCUPIERS ISRAEL NETANYAHU.
Biden wanted to send billions so they could funnel him millions. Biden and his political cronies wanted this war, it’s pretty obvious
That is strange……….. the White House said several times that "Russia has already lost this war"..!!!
Had Russia not began the SMO in February 2022 Ukraine would have seized the Donbass and would be well on it's way to full NATO membership. Everyone forgets that there was a massive build up of Ukraine forces in the area prior to Russia responding to the requests of the two oblasts (Donesk, Lughanst) for help.
YouTube auto deleted my comment for speaking out against USA funding crimes against humanity. Screen record caught it all…still rolling
War instigated by the west. They teased Russia into invasion.They neglected Russia’s security concerns regarding nato expansion. At the beginning of war Russians captured capital Kyiv and retreated all of the sudden. You know why Putin offered peace agreement according to which Ukraine dumps its desire to join NATO and Putin gives back all occupied territories.But Boris Johnson came told to Ukrainian government to not sign any agreement and fight instead. West started ramping Ukraine up with weapons they knew Ukraine can’t win. They just want to make money of this war. Whole generation of Ukrainian men gone. Country is devastated. At the end west gonna dump Ukraine just like Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan.
Well, Biri war is a racket as Gen Smedley said about 100 years ago. All the leaders of Ukraine saw a money grift to get rich. Same with the US and EU politicians thur defense contractors campaign contributions and JOBS once out of office. It's simple. You don't know this? Really?
People can still reports about Ukraine. During the military coup . Sorry but Nazis are never to be trusted .
Only a propagandized idiot thought otherwise.
I just don’t understand why the Ukrainian people were willing to take such a tragic loss.