Close Menu
    @cyclingeu
    @cyclingeu@pubeurope.com
    Germany

    International excess deaths



    Free download of John’s text books. Apologies about the recent technical problem, the link to my books is now working perfectly.

    https://drjohncampbell.co.uk

    Order my Physiology Notes in hard copy if you live in the UK,

    https://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/155780745424?mkcid=16&mkevt=1&mkrid=711-127632-2357-0&ssspo=K6raxMZrQnm&sssrc=4429486&ssuid=K6raxMZrQnm&var=&widget_ver=artemis&media=EMAIL

    Our world in data

    https://ourworldindata.org

    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-average-baseline

    https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid

    Excess mortality is a term used in epidemiology and public health that refers to the number of deaths from all causes during a crisis above and beyond what we would have expected to see under ‘normal’ conditions

    Excess deaths =
    Reported deaths – Expected deaths

    https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid#excess-mortality-our-data-sources

    The Human Mortality Database is maintained by a team of researchers based at the University of California, Berkeley, USA and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany.

    Related

    View 44 Comments

    44 Comments

    5. S.Wally. on

      The number of deaths registered in the UK in the week ending 20 October 2023 (Week 42) was 11,886, which was 1.9% lower than the five-year average (229 fewer deaths); of these deaths,

    7. steve6375 on

      Excess deaths was predicted by the gov right from the start, due to fear of transmission and lockdown. People did not go to their GP if they had non-Covid related symptoms and so it is natural to expect countries to experience higher excess deaths in the tail period of a pandemic and post-pandemic.

    9. NoNo on

      Sister, a nurse, didn’t speak to me for two years over this issue. She vaxxed herself, her 15 yr old son. Her husband got the jab as well. Now he’s been diagnosed with cancer, my nephew spent several days at Children’s Hospital with a strange eye infection, and my sister has aged rapidly and looks awful. My brother got the vac and came down with a horrible case of shingles. The shots just destroy immunity.😔

    10. Jo Stanley on

      Please, please dr john discuss WHY BARONESS HALLETT IS NOT SEEING THE IVM LETTERS TESS LAWRIE SENT TO JOHNSON AND HANCOCK. TRUTH blocked as ever regards and thanks Dr Jo East Anglia

    11. David Walters on

      Good video John. Excess deaths in the UK seem to be more a feature in younger age groups ie the 35-54 year age group and less apparent in the older categories. The numbers are smaller but taking into account their younger age the years of life lost is large.

    12. David and Jocelyn Ward on

      How is excess mortality measured?

      Excess mortality is measured as the difference between the reported number of deaths in a given week or month (depending on the country) in 2020–2023 and an estimate of the expected deaths for that period had the COVID-19 pandemic not occurred.

      The baseline of expected deaths can be estimated in several different ways.

      We use an estimate produced by Ariel Karlinsky and Dmitry Kobak as part of their World Mortality Dataset (WMD).4 To produce this estimate, they first fit a regression model for each region using historical deaths data from 2015–2019.5 They then use the model to project the number of deaths we might normally have expected in 2020–2023.6 Their model can capture both seasonal variation and year-to-year trends in mortality.

      For more details on this method, see the article Karlinsky and Kobak (2021) Tracking excess mortality across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic with the World Mortality Dataset.7

      Previously we used a different expected deaths baseline: the average number of deaths over the years 2015–2019.8 We made this change because using the five-year average has an important limitation — it does not account for year-to-year trends in mortality and thus can misestimate excess mortality.9 The WMD projection, on the other hand, does not suffer from this limitation because it accounts for these year-to-year trends. Our charts using the five-year average are still accessible in links in the sections below.

      For reported deaths, we source our data from both WMD and the Human Mortality Database.

    13. Christine Cural on

      Someone commented to me that people dying from these heart related t's been the leading cause of death
      for over 100 years. It's actually been in decline but
      still very common. Not sure if thats true or not. 😊

    16. karen straughan on

      Dr. John. My dad died with no immune system 9 months after dose 2. His very first symptom was collapsing on his way to the bathroom at 2AM. He'd managed to grab the vanity and lower himself down, and mom found him a little later, unconscious, sitting propped in the nook between the wall and the cabinet.

      In the hospital, they tested him for COVID (of course). No COVID. So they tested him for other viruses. Nothing. What he HAD was a bacterial infection. Where? Urinary tract, lungs, sinuses, blood. Which pretty much means everywhere.

      He had no fever. No aches. Not even difficulty breathing. No symptoms at all. His first noticeable symptom was him collapsing when the bacterial load in his blood was enough to steal all his oxygen.

      They put him on the strongest cocktail of antibiotics available. Didn't even slow it down. He went into a coma within 16 hours, and was dead the next day.

      Those mice in Pfizer's nonclinical trial? They proved these vaccines end up distributed all throughout the body within 25 minutes, and continue to migrate for at least 48 hours.

      After 48 hours, the top five favorite destinations for the lipid nanoparticles were (in descending order) the liver, the spleen, the adrenal glands, the ovaries and the bone marrow. But the enzyme they used to track the nanoparticles breaks down after 48 hours.

      How do the LNPs spread so rapidly that within 25 minutes there are detectable concentrations in every organ/tissue in the body? Do you remember a study that showed vaccine mRNA was found in breast milk? Not spike protein, mind you. mRNA. How did it get there? Not in breast cells. In breast milk.

      Having breast fed three kids over a total of 4.5 years, I can tell you. The forward milk is mostly protein and carbs, but the hind milk is loaded with fat.

      I have a hypothesis, and I would like to know if I'm completely out to lunch.

      Lipid is just another word for fatty acids, the building blocks of fats. The reason LNPs can gain entry to any type of cell is that cells consider them food and passively endocytose them.

      The LNPs are injected into skeletal muscle tissue. Skeletal muscle cells do need some fats to maintain processes and structures, but they do not use fat for fuel. They use glucose and glycogen.

      So what would they do with a sudden influx LNPs that look like fat. Way more fat than they need or know what to do with?

      They'd stick the lipid nanoparticles in some exosomes and spit them back out. Waste not, want not is the philosophy here. Just because a muscle cell doesn't need all this fat doesn't mean some other cell somewhere else can't use it.

      My hypothesis is that skeletal muscle cells are bundling the LNPs in exosomes and spitting them out.

      The LNP ends up bouncing from cell to cell, being endocytosed and exocytosed until it stumbles on a cell that wants fat. When it finds that cell, the LNP coating is metabolized, the mRNA strand is liberated, and the cell begins to manufacture spike protein.

      If this is the case, how long would it take for ALL of the LNPs to find their forever homes and burn them down? And where would those doomed homes be?

      That might depend on people's age, sex, BMI, dietary habits, or even when and what they last ate before they were jabbed.

      Pfizer tracked them for 48 hours, in rats. At that point, concentrations were still decreasing at the injection site and increasing everywhere else.

      Where the LNPs were in rats at the 48 hour mark might not be where they'd be in humans, let alone in every human. And even if the distribution was identical to rats at 48 hours, that doesn't mean that's where the LNPs finally unpacked their bags and put down stakes.

      You mentioned there were significant excess deaths from liver disease. There have also been significant excess deaths from dementia and Alzheimers. And now we have "turbo cancers" cropping up. Or situations like my dad's–complete immune collapse.

      Dad had always had a robust immune system. He took vitamins religiously. He caught colds and flus on occasion (and he'd be miserable), but he'd always be better and back on his feet in a few days. He'd never in his 87 years been admitted to hospital because of an infection. As far as mom and I can recall, he'd never even been to the DOCTOR for an infection. Sure, to get his face reconstructed after a dog mauled him. To pull a shard of metal out of his eyeball. And as he got older, for regular checkups that made mom green with envy. "He puts salt on BACON! How am I the one with hypertension?"

      The last routine physical before he died? His customary 105/70 was 170/95. He had purpura and edema in his lower legs. Nothing to worry too much about, said the doctor. Typical for men his age. No cause for alarm.

      Except these were sudden onset conditions. After dose 2.

      And somehow, a bacterial infection managed to colonize his entire body without anyone noticing? Without a fever? Without aches? Without fatigue? Without chills or sweats or even a sniffle or cough? And without any primary viral infection detected when he finally landed in hospital?

      I am… very, very angry. It's a smoldering anger, not a blazing one.

      I pray that my idiot kids are okay. They felt forced to take it, and did it behind my back. One had both doses, the other two had one each.

    18. Paige Owen on

      Most countries with mandates like we had in Australia are very high excess deaths, where the UK did not mandate it like NZ and Australia did, no jab no job over here

    20. Pumpkin on

      I recently returned from abroad and had COVID on my arrival. I contacted the doctor last Monday and said that I cannot receive treatment because I have not been vaccinated. She asked me to stay at home for two weeks to allow my natural immune system to fight this so called COVID. She said if I develop severe symptoms i should call 111. The symptoms were very mild and I am now fully recovered without calling 111.
      So are these guidelines that you cannot be treated for COVID because you are not vaccinated 😅

    23. M W on

      Swiss Re the leading reinsurer just announced initiatives and trends stemming from their reading of excess deaths of 3% in the US lingering thru 2030

    26. Andrew Reddy on

      Is it possible HRH Prince Phillips death on the 9th April 2021 could be connected to his covid vaccine on the 9th January 2021 with all we know now. What were our Royal family being told about the safety of the vaccines. Was our late Queen mislead. I think these are important questions for the Sovereign.

    27. Regina Tenorio on

      I agree with you too, doctor. Totally.

      Three friends of mine have passed in the last year from cancer, people on their 50s. Cancers detected in their last stage, even they having been healthy persons. Very sad and worrying situation

    28. nyood mono on

      Look how the first Lockdowns in March (Week 10) mark the sudden rise of deaths in western europe (excluding Portugal) for 2-3 weeks. At this time the Corona cases were already low, since spring was coming.

    29. Hobo Ronin on

      In the midst of uncertainty, a feeling we can't evade,
      There's a sense of impending change, a path yet unmade.

      Something stirs in the distance, shrouded in mystery,
      Leaving many bewildered, wondering what will be.

      We tread with caution, as if on shards of glass,
      Navigating the unknown, trying not to trespass.

      Yet amidst the confusion, we must seek the truth,
      For ignorance won't shield us from the future's ruthless booth.

      Shouldn't we demand transparency, a clear voice that rings,
      Revealing what's unfolding, dispelling the hidden things?

      Let us not turn a blind eye, pretending not to see,
      For when the day of reckoning arrives,
      there'll be no place to flee.

      By Curtis Fryer
      AKA
      Hobo Ronin

      Read more @hoboronin

    31. Shawn G on

      "…would expect excess mortality to be lower now because the vulnerable people died during the pandemic…"

      Wtf? No you wouldn't. The pandemic didn't wipe out everyone that was in the vulnerable population and now the world is full of healthy individuals. You are alive aren't you? I imagine you fall into the 65 and over.

    33. Flow State on

      Stress is a massive contributor to most diseases and therefore death right? Is the world not more stressed than a 5 years ago and how is that factored into the situation? Everyone I know has financial problems, fighting about politics with family members, layoffs etc

    35. Glen Young on

      For Canada becareful of the numbers of non-covid deaths, there has been a steady increase in voluntary assisted suicide which will skew the numbers.

      ‘Growth in the number of medically assisted deaths in Canada continues in 2022.

      In 2022, there were 13,241 MAID provisions reported in Canada, accounting for 4.1% of all deaths in Canada.
      The number of cases of MAID in 2022 represents a growth rate of 31.2% over 2021. All provinces except Manitoba and the Yukon continue to experience a steady year-over-year growth in 2022.
      When all data sources are considered, the total number of medically assisted deaths reported in Canada since the introduction of federal MAID legislation in 2016 is 44,958.”

    39. Chris on

      Here in The Netherlands the access deaths are going high up since the start of the vaccine campagne that was started in late September/early October. It's crazy so many people are closing they're eyes!

    Leave A Reply