In this episode Patrick Broe and Benji Naesen preview the 2024 men’s & women’s Olympic Road Race.
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Credits:
Photos | Cor Vos (unless stated otherwise)
Profiles | La Flamme Rouge
Results | FirstCycling
Timestamps:
00:00:00 – Men’s road race
00:36:48 – Women’s road race
24 Comments
If the US and EF allies get in the break, they’re not easy to bring back. Dygert, Knibb, Faulkner, Jackson. 3 TTers and Jackson will work.
Rui Costa for silver.
Very polite from Tadej to skip the olympics so that someone else has a chance to win 🥳
remco for the double
I'd lay MvdP at such a short price, it's going to be impossible to control this race.
Chloe is really motivated
King Julian would be great
USA got 3 good riders,let's go
Is there any chance that trade team shenanigans cause an upset? Let's say Kirsch, Vacek, Gibbons and Skujins get in the early break together, maybe with some other serious riders, who'll chase? They are gonna work together so well. Any thoughts?
It is not just the Dutch team that were fooled in Tokyo, so were all the other good riders.
The Dutch have brought a dedicated helper this time, Kopecky has three dedicated helpers, and other big teams will also not want a Kiesenhofer scenario.
Vollering is quicker than ELB in a sprint ( unless she messes up her positioning like in this years LBL), she is stronger now than she was in spring as she also showed vs ELB in Suisse. So it is not strange that she has better odds, not even taking into account that she could benefit from a team game.
I agree that Vollering and Vos should try to go early. But they would also be fine going into the final with the three of them.
Vollering is quicker than ELB in a sprint ( unless she messes up her positioning like in this years LBL), she is stronger now than she was in spring as she also showed vs ELB in Suisse. So it is not strange that she has better odds, not even taking into account that she could benefit from a team game.
I agree that Vollering and Vos should try to go early. But they would also be fine going into the final with the three of them.
In Glasgow AVV was chasing all race long after a mechanical, Wiebes did not start because of COVID, and Vos was not Vos like she is this year. Plus the course is easier. If Kopecky wins NL has really screwed up.
Vollering is quicker than ELB in a sprint ( unless she messes up her positioning like in this years LBL), she is stronger now than she was in spring as she also showed vs ELB in Suisse. So it is not strange that she has better odds, not even taking into account that she could benefit from a team game.
I agree that Vollering and Vos should try to go early. But they would also be fine going into the final with the three of them.
In Glasgow AVV was chasing all race long after a mechanical, Wiebes did not start because of COVID, and Vos was not Vos like she is this year. Plus the course is easier. If Kopecky wins NL has really screwed up.
Team control is one thing but with that distance you must also not neglect nutrition. They will likely have less staff along the route than on a tour stage I imagine and certainly will have more disparity between teams. If it splits wildly and car access might be limited I wouldn’t be surprised to see that play a significant factor
Remco needs that period with plenty of attacks of those who know in the last 40 km they can't compete anymore. That can be anywhere from 100 to 50 kms to go in which he must make his move. Of course all domestiques will be tasked to bring him back but he can keep trying. If Van der Poel catches up and Van Aert does not, he should not pull anymore. But if not, he should go no matter he is alone or in a group. If that does not work and Wout is top he has a chance to beat Mathieu in the sprint.
One thing that you didn't mention is that a silver or bronze at the Olympics is much more of an achievement than a 2nd or 3rd place and basically any other event. MVDP, WVA and Evenepoel are the only ones I think would race in a way to loose a sure medal to have the chance to win gold. This dynamic could make it much more likely someone could make a solo move work as some riders in the group behind might be willing to let the gold go to make sure they are fresh for the sprint for silver.
the only thing i hope for is golden wout but i’ve been hurt too many times before.
Didn’t know Paolo Bettini 2004😱
2004 bettini! The world champ stripes aired with the gold, so good!
If memory serves it was Bettini in Athens 04
Alexi Greill(?) LA84
Cassertelli Barcelona 92
Ulrich/Vino/Kloden Sydney 00
All notable for different reasons
Oh and my bonus for ten points which came up in a pub quiz once
José Beyaert London 48!!
This race has seriously potential to turn into a farce
Chris Horner made the same analysis yesterday : he concludes that coalitions of teams e.g BEL + NED + DK is unavoidable (to control).
Likely scenario : Remco makes a 10 meters gap 50km to go … and good luck in the long TT boulevards !
Qu'est-ce j'avais dit ? What did I say ? EVENEPOEL ATTACKS at 5:10 PM!