Tour de France 2024 Stage 1 from Florence to Rimini preview – top 10 favorites & podium prediction.

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0:00 – Tour de France 2024 Stage 1 – Course preview & race scenario
1:50 – Tour de France 2024 Stage 1 – Riders to watch + betting odds
3:58 – Tour de France 2024 Stage 1 – Cycling Guy top 10 favourites + podium prediction

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hi everybody it is finally time it may be clear that this is a special stage 206k in Italy good for 3,847 M of elevation gain and never has the tour started with the stage presenting the riders with so much climbing with the yellow Jersey on offer there’s a multitude of scenarios I’ve been checking with you all on the community tab how you think it will unfold and around 180 community members voted with this result 65% of you expect team UAE to send it in order to test vineard with 40% of all voters thinking that bachar will post his stamp on this race from day one the other 25% expect UAE to test a bit to notice it is useless at which point a late break will get clear and Fight For the Win 6% expect the break to make it stick and 30% expect a Sprint of reduced pellaton the stage starts with a sloping section into a 13k climb at 5.4% average this is perfect terrain for a strong break to form with a yellow Jersey up for graps expect a fight for the break to be fierce this is going to hurt how the stage unfolds will depend largely on the composition of the break that will form teams who don’t get a rider into the brake will cooperate to bring it back where it comes to the UAE testing of Yas fagard logic dictates that they will try this on the barboto San Leo Duo given that the gradients there reach an average of 7.6 6% I really expect them to drop a little bomb yet I don’t expect them to actually hurt fard it will help clowing back to break though and the moment UAE stops hammering it the TS and jaulas of this world will take over again the real spinter will be dropped here yet those with climbing legs will hang on and I do expect them to fight it out for the win The Bookies tend to disagree they think pogacha will go for it which presents us with quite some interesting odds for the stage then here’s the Riders to watch in my book I am going to call pachar I don’t think they’ll go for it then again I also didn’t expect pachar to go for it on stage one of the jro pitco at the grenadiers I don’t expect quickstep to go after this one they’re here with different plans Laport or vanard at FIS Malisa bike although I actually expect W vanard to suffer here after what I’ve seen in the Belgian Road championships note that just after uploading my GC preview cus fell sick and has been replaced with bartlema Baran has a few options here I like both Bago and Bilbao for this stage I personally think they’ll be allowed some Freedom by the main teams Bora jumbo and UAE mohoric could also do well here EF is another team with options Healey with a solo from the break getting rid of his fellow Breakaway Riders on the steeper sections and of course our man beol the fresh Italian Champion with a shot at yellow on home soils this is going to give him wings talking about wings you have to love the Red Bull Bora Jersey personally I don’t think they’ll bother showing it in this stage though at alpas in theing mat Vanderpool indicated to like the gravel stage yet I personally think he will also not shy away from a shot at yellow especially since I expect Philip to miss out on this one he climbs well yet there’s too many fresh teams here who will do all they can to eliminate him in my book they should get K Anderson in the break where I actually consider him to have a chance and then mvdp to just sail along in the bunch and should he make it in a small group over that final climb which you can expect him to do anything can happen Derek G at Israel Premier Tech Magnus C at yuno X and Pederson at little Tre Michael Matthews at jao alula finds a stage hair that suits him really well the newly crowned French champion laera at a2r g simmerman at an Mar fills at Lotto Destiny and Kar at kofidis Matthews and betol my four-star favorites for this Stage Court pitock and mat Vanderpool get three stars K Anderson bil BAU and G get two stars and pogacha Andy each get one star in terms of Podium prediction I’m calling Matthews for the win ahead of bettiol and Pitcock thanks for watching enjoy the stage and see you tomorrow for my stage two preview which will drop earlier

13 Comments

  1. Bettiol is a good bet for the podium for this stage. Do you see other stages that suit Bettiol? Do you see other stages for him? I am not planning on picking him for my team because I don’t see another stage for him. What do you think?

  2. As always tysm for your work and those videos !

    Which jersey does Alberto prefer ? National champion or yellow ? Why choose when you can wear both in the TDF 🤪

    I'd love to see Healy try in the hills but as long as Bettiol is in the team I'm not sure he will atack. Healy not being Healy 🙁

    Also if Soler manages to be in the group in the final I think he'll try something, or Almeida. Not sure Matthews is strong enough to be in the final today.
    I like Aranburu but there will be stronger sprinters, he must arrive alone..

    I'm with you on Gee; there's also Williams they both can do well tomorrow for sure

    So I'll go on :
    🥇Bettiol
    🥈Van Gils
    🥉Pidcock

  3. ive changed my mind a bit and its gonna be like 35 degress heat. I think UAE do have to try and smash the first stage and not play nice

  4. I don't know the riders,I don't know the teams,but I watch this race every year. Blood, sweat, tears,crashes,drama,drugs, endurance, and some of the best scenery in the world.

  5. Yes, it all depends on how Tadej will set the stage. If he wants a hard stage, all the GC guys will fight then little possibilities for riders like Bettiol. If Tadej decides a conservative race (mmm… Tadej always wants to attack EVEN WHEN USELESS) then Bettiol is a nice name to win.

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