London House Prices Are Down – Is This The Property Crash?

    London house prices are on the decline, sparking concerns about a potential property crash. In this video, we examine the latest data and trends to understand what’s happening in the London property market. Are we on the brink of a major downturn, or is this just a temporary dip? Join us for expert analysis, market insights, and predictions on the future of London real estate. Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for the latest updates on the housing market!

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    hey my name is James duerson welcome to my YouTube channel in this video I want to talk about the London house price crash there are plenty of burrowers now that are in Crash territory some over 20% so I’m going to tell you exactly what areas are bucking the trend in London because there’s some that are up significantly while there are others that are down significantly as well officially to be in a crash you need more than 10% drop in a calendar year that has actually happened in multiple London burs now but there are some that are doing significantly better and really really well on a whole at London is down over 3% and so we’re going to look at all the little pockets of London and what is happening so before we jump into this as always if you haven’t done already do subscribe to the channel over there and hit the Bell notification we’re on the way to 24,000 subscribers now you can see around this video how close we are to actually getting that and why you’re here just be an all around great person by Smashing that like button tickling the like button do something to that like button over there that really helps us with the YouTube algorithm some people get massively upset about asking for that but just be a good person and do it it won’t kill you so what’s going on in London well house prices are down on average and they’re actually down a lot more than the whole of the UK so the UK average house price is up 1% on a 12-month rolling basis at the moment but London is down so London is down at the moment on average 3.4% which is not insignificant so what we look at is on an on a calendar basis if we go down 12% which could happen because the market is slowing down at the moment while people are waiting for interest rate drops maybe a stamp Duty maybe to see what happens with the general election there’s lots going on right uh and so that is interesting that the average is down 3.4% at the moment now 1% is nationally what we’re looking at up um but the average London house price at the moment is just below 500 Grand now so it is 499 66 63 that’s the first time it has been below £500,000 since July 2020 so that means there is some movement in that market we knew this about 6 months ago London was suffering and it was the first place to get hit and during the pandemic it struggled as well because lots of people wanted to move out of London and the affordability really hits and bites very hard in London you think about it uh people had to really stretch imagine an average house is 500 Grand that costs so much money and when the affordability gets squeezed by uh inflation and by interest rate Rises that means that inevitably people will end up paying less so where is doing well so let’s have a look at these areas first so greenedge is doing pretty well so AG as a whole is 2.4% up which is not bad and so that’s one of the areas that is Bucking the trend in London for sure 2.4% I’d be happy with that is lington is also doing well and so Islington is 1.5% up but there’s not many other places that are up in London in fact what you’re going to see now is that a lot of them are heading in the wrong direction and some have officially crashed already so let’s have a look at these so an area that uh so these are up let’s have a look at what is down so new is down and so newm is down 3.2% at the moment Not Crash territory but it’s moving towards it that could officially go into a crash territory at some point and that’s just the tip of the iceberg because now I’m going to show you some places that are doing particularly bad next is barking so barking is not in official crash territory yet but that’s getting pretty close 7.5% down in barking that’s a big big drop and going to have wiped out tens of thousands of pounds off the value of those properties there um next is Chelsea Chelsea we had data and so Chelsea and Fulham are together pretty much in the data here uh and so Chelsea is down 133% down um we C we did see this a while ago we did a video on the channel about these more affluent areas of London they’ just got hit really hard and it’s not necessarily down to the fact that people don’t want to live in London some of this was due to the wars that are happening lots of Rich Russian people like to invest in London and so they with their assets getting Frozen They’re not going to be comfortable doing that Chinese people have got problems with inflation in their own country and so it made it more complicated for people to invest at the moment and so that’s one thing that we’re seeing here so Chelsea is officially in Crash territory but that’s nowhere near as bad as some of these next ones uh I’m going to show you so Westminster is down absolutely crazy amounts 20% down in Westminster that is well into crash territory now uh and you imagine that the the house prices there are going to be 6 700 Grand at least or more So 20% is a huge amount wiped off the value of those properties uh and so that’s going to be obviously concerning to those people that are investing in those areas uh but it’s worse um so Hammer Smith is down 21% and this isn’t the worst this is still not the worst these are huge huge huge drops in the capital um it is in like a lot of PE so this is the on data so this is the official data that we’re getting here on this uh a lot of people do think that London is bottoming out now uh and so that’s a good sign if there’s any from this uh the worst place though is just the central London areas this is where the international investors really like to invest and that is down 22% huge huge drops there and you think of all the value of these properties here uh and it does show how robust the rest of the UK is because the rest of the UK is still that slightly uh but it is 1% up on average and so there are so many properties in London um these could start impacting the the national averages uh at some point if they continue to drop uh they’re definitely going to make the average a little bit harder to be positive for sure so London has been hit it’s not immune it often is the first place and sometimes what you’ll see is this can spread to the southern counties and other places around the UK but London in central London in the affluent areas of London is officially in Crash territory now let me know what your thoughts are in the comments below maybe you can afford a house in Chelsea now who knows um with a big discount that you can get now with your 133% off or if you want to live in Westminster 20% off um they are on sale uh and so maybe that stimulates that market now and some people will jump in maybe there’s more to go what do you think tell me in the comments do smash like do subscribe if you didn’t do already check out some more content on my channel Channel including this video right here

    37 Comments

    1. When you have an Economy that’s totally reliant on the property market it will never work. As my old Grandad used to say to say…”You can’t spend a brick son “…

    2. Thank goodness I am well away from London.😅 Let’s hope the bad news doesn’t spread to the Southern Counties SE SW etc.

    3. Too many robberies & stabbings in London, a lot of areas I don’t feel safe in London & if you have a flash car, clothing or watch you will be targeted, not nice. Glad I only go there for work occasionally, Met have lost control big time

    4. They are all moving to Manchester James, speaking to an agent today who told me there's loads of enquiries from southerners. 300k will get you a decent house in Manchester in a nice area. There's loads of people that WFH and Manchester to London is only an hour and a half on the Avanti.

    5. Properties in Battersea had an overall average price of £991,599 over the last year.
      Source Rightmove 3rd May 2024.

      The majority of sales in Battersea during the last year were flats, selling for an average price of £750,870. Terraced properties sold for an average of £1,629,005, with semi-detached properties fetching £1,760,735.

      Overall, sold prices in Battersea over the last year were 6% down on the previous year and 2% up on the 2018 peak of £974,563.

    6. Is an area really doing badly if houses become more affordable to buy and rent? The cost of housing is a major impact on the cost of living for the majority of people. I own a house but I hope the market does crash and gives the next generation a chance to avoid renting forever.

    7. Mate, do your homework. China hasn't been suffering from INFLATION, but from DEFLATION, a biblical property crash, an underperforming stock market, and as a result a lack of foreign liquidity, trade and confidence in the country's economy fuelled by geopolitical tensions..

      You were well off there.

    8. Crashing ? Hahahahah is this dude mental . Nothing is crashing my friend. 10% drop after 200% increase is not a crash . This reminds me of Brexit campaign… running on divorced reality just for views ….

    9. Why people complaining about preasing the like button. What snobs, it must be to much strain for there finger😂😂.

    10. Mate in london, in leyton/Leytonstone, i have seen properties 4 years are at 400k, 450k and these same properties are 800k+, completely inflated same thing with Newham. So even 4% off is not enough. 😂. Sorry to say but this needs to continue on a downward trend.

    11. When is your Leasehold reform video coming out? a few videos ago you said that it was dead in the water, which was completely false. You caused alot of anxiety with that video, with no real evidence that it was shelved. Hmmmmm, not good…

    12. Great video, James! I noticed the Leasehold Reform Bill finally passed last night. Do you think this will positively impact London property prices now that 990-year lease extensions are available? Additionally, with increased scrutiny on service charges and skyrocketing buildings insurance, what are your thoughts?

    13. Unless the economy crashes then property is going to just flat line in general terms…..although the average price is just completely irrelevant,all that matters is the home you are selling and the property you are buying

    14. Hi mate I’m 21 living in the north of England saving around for £1200 a month. My current balance is 18 thousand debt free. What would be the best way to get in to real estate? should my first property be buy to let? Should I save enough to buy on an auction and look to renovate? Do you have any videos on this and what advice and path would you give. Would be very appreciated❤

    15. No crush in London property market anytime soon….
      Too many people with too much money can just buy up all property…
      Not enough housing is being built…. there is no crash happening anytime soon (unless the entire economy crashes – which is not out of the question)

    16. “A lot of these prices are heading in the wrong direction”

      No no, housing prices going down are fundamentally the right direction.

    17. The market is a capitalist fraud system where folks need to borrow 7 times salary. That js why borrowers are broke, especially as mortage rates rise.

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