On this week’s GCN Racing News Show, Dan is analyzing the big four ahead of the Tour de France. How do we rate the chances of Pogacar, Roglic, Vingegaard & Evenepoel with under three weeks to go until the start? He will also wrap up the cracking final stage of the Critérium du Dauphiné plus the Tour of Britain, ZLM Tour, Dwars door het Hageland, the Women’s Volta a Catalunya, and the first stage of the Tour de Suisse.
00:00 Welcome to the GCN Racing News Show!
00:31 This week in the world of racing
01:22 How things panned out at the Dauphiné.
05:53 A few others in the top 10 on GC
07:55 Can Primož Roglič get the job done at the Tour de France?
09:36 Will Remco Evenepoel stick with the best, day after day after day, in the high mountains?
10:38 Is Tadej Pogačar the best he’s ever been?
11:36 How well is Jonas Vingegaard going?
12:46 What order are the ‘big four’ going to finish in?
13:50 Women’s Tour of Britain
16:10 Tour de Suisse
16:49 ZLM Tour & Other Races
17:41 Other news & Transfers
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What order are the ‘big four’ going to finish in? Let us know in the comments!
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welcome back to the gcn racing news show coming up this week analyzing the big four ahead of the tour to France how do we rate the chances of vineel puga rogl and aipo with under three weeks to go until the start I’ll also be wrapping up the ceran de doof which had a cracking final stage plus the tour of Britain zlm tour dor head harand Welter Catalonia and the first stage of the tour to Swiss this week in the world of racing we learned that even ASO get it wrong sometimes here’s the lead group being taken the wrong way by the lead car at the doofan last [Music] week we also learned that mass crashes continue to haunt procycling uh this one on stage five of the ctin doofan involved so many riders the stage had to be an know due to a lack of medical provision left to cover the remainder of that particular stage we also learned that visma Lisa bike teen boss Richard pluger was busy handing out bottles at that race and not just to his own Riders either that was a really class touch and finally we learned that whilst Primos rogl won the doofan there are still question marks over his form ahead of the tour to France before I get on to why I’ll run through how things panned out at the doof was generally seen as the warm-up race for the tour to fr France I already spoke about Mass ps’s opening stage win on last week’s racing news show but it was another Dane who took the stage win and the leaders jersey a day later Magnus caught neelon was the fastest to the line from the group that contested the win on top of the kleim that day not that we really got to see all that much of it the cloud cover was so bad we barely saw the final few hundred meters of the stage a Manus courts win there marked the first ever at World Tour level for his team Uno X there there was another exchange of the leaders jersey a day later on stage three which had a very popular winner most of you will remember the exploits of Derek G of Israel premere Tech at last year’s jro where he came oh so close to the win on so many occasions well last Tuesday he finally took his first pro win outside of Canadian national championships so he attacked inside the final kilometer but was tracked down by Roman greguar of groupa he went straight past him and it looked like that was that for G but he clung onto the Frenchman he still had enough left in the tank to go back around him by the Finish to take both the stage win and the leader’s yellow Jersey to boot now which is what he wore on the stage for individual time Trail the following day where he pulled out another Banger of a ride not quite enough to stay in the leader’s Jersey but a very respectable sixth place on the day nonetheless two Young Guns dominated that time Tri Josh Tarling of inos grenadiers spent most of the day in the hot seat having blitzed around the hilly course at an average speed of 49 km per hour nobody came close to any of the splits until Remco aeno rolled through them the world champion was up at the first check level pegging at the second but then pulled out a Monster final third to win by 17 seconds on the day that was his fifth win of the season so far and the 55th of his career T’s consistency in time Trail since turning pro is really quite staggering though in fact if you go to the last four years since his Junior days tling has competed at 22 time trials according to First cycling and never been outside the top three the only time he had a bad result in adverted commers against the clock was at last year’s tour of Norway prologue he finished 17th there that though had a decent climb in it but as we saw over the rest of the Doan his climbing is coming along just nicely as well after the neutralized stage five it was on to three consecutive days in the high mountains all with Summit finishes and that was where it started to look a bit like the Primos rug show on stage six to L dear he put three seconds into tonei to take the stage win but more importantly 42 seconds into aole enough to put the Slovenian into the race lead a lead he extended the next day to saman 1600 where he outsprinted Mato jensson to take a second consecutive stage win with aapol losing more time that day rit’s lead into the eighth and final stage was a comfortable one a minute and 2 seconds over Jorgenson 113 over G and with a strong team supporting him it looks like a done deal except this is rogich it’s never a done deal even though he gets the deal done more often than not everything looked in hand until this point with just 5.3 Cas to go now this is Carlos Rodriguez attacking after what was a huge turn on the front by inos Grenadier teammate Lawrence Delo up to that point RIT had looked in control but as jensson followed the attack RIT was suddenly a couple of bike lengths behind uh two bike lengths then became 10 then 20 and all of a sudden there was a proper time Gap with his two closest rivals on GC in the front group rits couldn’t afford to lose more than 52 seconds with the potential for jensson to win the stage and take 10 bonus seconds with that and for a long time it still looked in hand he was holding it a 15 to 20 seconds but then with two and a half K to go it had gone over half a minute up front G was distance leaving just jensson and Rodriguez fighting out for the D win the Spaniard took it meaning jensson only took six bonus seconds rogl therefore had to get to that finish line within 56 seconds and it was an agonizing wait he did do it but only with eight seconds to spare and it was a plot twist that I don’t think many people were expecting and certainly some high level drama at the end of what had been quite a formula 8 GC fight to that point so before I talk about rogl a word for a few others in the top 10 on GC at the race uh first up Jorgenson in light of the crashes for vanard vinor and other high-profile Riders from the team Jorgenson has been vima’s most successful Rider so far this season he had a win at par of course and dto landron and he’s now backed that up by the most impressive rid ever done in back-to-back high mountains in my opinion at least uh he will play a key role at the upcoming tour of France that’s for sure what’s less sure is whether that will be as a secondary leader with his own Freedom or whether that’s solely at the support of Jonas VOR next up then Derek G uh his breakthrough performance was at last year’s dur at Italia but this was his breakthrough performance as a GC contender in races at this level his Peak 20 minutes on the final climb yesterday was 429 Watts that came at the end of a 4 and 1 half hour stage and at the end of three consecutive Mountain stages so that is seriously impressive I don’t think many of us thought of Derek G as a future Grand Tour Contender possibly not even Derek himself if the last eight days or anything to go by he certainly got the physiological capacity to turn himself into one uh he also has the time tring ability of course and a Classics pedigree so he really does have all the characteristics you’d want to be a GC Contender at the grand Tours just behind G in fourth was Carlos Rodriguez his stage win yesterday was just the seventh of his career so far but five of them have come up World Tour level he doesn’t really have a Sprint so to speak but at the end of a long day in the mountains he is always there in fifth it was Lawrence D PLO he was awesome yesterday the turn he did on the front was massive and then he still had enough to finish fourth on the day he would been an incredible helper at the tour to France vlasov took six despite working for Rog glitch the whole time but the other standout result in the top 10 was Oya lascano in ninth we’ve all seen how strong he is in the one day Classics but he’s never climbed like he did last week that was seriously impressive for Rog then that was his 21st Pro level GC Victory putting in one ahead of nirra kintana in the active Rider ranking list he lik some nail biting finishes though doesn’t he this chart compiled by amatti pural on Twitter shows how close a lot of those wins have been four of them by 8 seconds or less 11 by under a minute he gets the job done doesn’t he the question is can he get the job done at the tour to France not on the form he displayed at the doof is my opinion but there is still just under three weeks to the start of the tour and five until the start of tough final week there now that might sound a little bit harsh given that he’s just won the key warm-up race for the tour but would Peak paga or Peak vineer been dropped by Jorgenson or Rodriguez on that final climb yesterday no in fact you’d have to say they’d have probably been further off the front themselves given what we’ve seen from both of them over the last few years but Rog glitch doesn’t need to panic and one of his main assets as a bike rider is that he never does Panic now we have to remember that he o crashed at the tour of the bass country back in April twice in fact so although he didn’t break any bones back then and would have been back on the bike fairly quickly after those crashes his preparation has been interrupted he also crashed twice during the do last week I think that’s my biggest fear with him getting through the tour of Rance without hitting the deck particularly in the chaotic opening first week of racing if he does manage to stay rubber side down he’s going to be there or thereabouts isn’t he but if it’s a straight head-to-head battle against puga or vinegar and there on form I can’t see him winning even though I’d like to see it next up Remco aole now he did break bones at the tour of the bass country crash in April and so he would have been off the bik longer than rogl before he was able to start building back up he went into the ctin Doan saying that he wasn’t going for the general classification but was instead there to build his form and get back into the rhythm of racing uh because of that it’s hard to be too critical of his eighth place in the overall classification he ticked the time TR box putting heaps of time into all the other GC contenders and then rode his own pace up the mountains he would definitely be happy that there’s almost 60 K of time tring at the tour to France this year but in my mind there’s still a lot of question marks over his ability to stick with the best day after day in the high mountains yes I know he won the world spia a grand tour but that in the end wasn’t against rogich nor Pacha nor vinar there’s no doubt he’s incredibly talented and still has time to improve but in my mind he’s fighting for a Podium place at the tour and probably not the win onto paga then after his six stage wins and the overall victory at the dur Natalia he spent a week back in Monaco resting and recovering but for the last week he’s been back at altitude in ten is he the best that he’s ever been well I’d say on results alone this year yes he is there hasn’t been a single blip since he first competed at strad bian he’s hit all his targets and just importantly when it comes to the Tour of France he’s not had a bad crash nor got ill as far as we know at least the question mark that hangs over patcha is the jro and whether that will hamper him come July so Jalia Tor of France double has been seen as almost impossible in recent times we’re just five weeks between the two of them it’s not long enough to take a decent break and then rebuild fully but at least the general consensus is it’s been too hard for a while but if anybody can do it patar can in most people’s I think he’s the favorite for the upcoming tour to France but that’s mainly because none of us know how close yunas vinegar will be to 100% of the tour or even if he will ride it at all he had a collapsed lung a broken collar bone and several broken ribs after that crash in the bass country a horrific list of injuries he remained in hospital in Spain for quite some time before then continuing his recovery at home in Denmark since then he’s been training in muor and has since been on an altitude camp in Tina himself for a few weeks so he’s been picture training with his time trail bike in the background but we really have no clue as to how well he’s going and how much those injuries are still bothering him now some people have been comparing it to pacha’s situation this time last year of course last year he broke his wrist at leage Baston Le AG but I would say Vine girl’s injuries were far far worse quite obviously and his time off the bike would have been a lot longer I hope he’s close to his best at the tour to France but there’s no doubt his preparation has been severely hampered and there was another blow for him last week as Dylan vanal and Steven kravic both crashed out of the doof and sep cus didn’t look his normal self either adding further woes to a season that couldn’t have been more in contrast to 2023 for Vima Lisa bike so that’s where we’re at none of those four compete again ahead of the tour to France that starts in Florence on the 29th of July so we won’t really have anything more to go on before then unless one of them accidentally uploads to straa with their power data now I focused on the big four as those have been the Nam on everyone’s lips since they announced their respective race programs at the very start of this year but I’m not going to count everyone else out of course it’s going to be a very interesting tour of runs interesting to see how burnout pitot Yates carapaz and others get on at the tour of Swiss this week and we’ve already seen how well the likes of Rodriguez and Jorgenson were going at the C doofan and what about Derek G he could get a top 10 I reckon If he rides for General classification rather than stage wins at the Tor France and that would really be quite something anyway I would love to get your thoughts at home what order are the big four going to finish in at the Tor of France I’m going to say paga vinegar RL then aipo with a couple of other rides mixed between let me know in the comment section just down below on to the rest of last week’s races now and I’ll start with the women’s tour of Britain firstly well done to British cycling for promoting the race what was very short notice in the aftermath of former organizer sweet spot going into Administration it would have been awful to see the demise of the women’s tour of Britain and indeed the men’s which comes later on this year it was a race that was dominated by SD Works Pro time almost from start to finish a select group contested the win on the opening stage into cludo and it was latitia PSTA of Liv alula Joo who raised her arms in celebration unfortunately though she hadn’t won lot of keki had pipped her to the line keki back up with another win the following day in rexam she’d got away with Anna Henderson Runing of Great Britain at the race and out sprinted her at the finish the only full Bunch Sprint that we had came on day three into Warrington and no surprise to see Lorina vbz take the spoils there although charlota Co of Team DSM fck did push her close most of the way to the line and then we had stage four which was an utterly bizarre finish i’ had been particularly aggressive that final stage under heavy rain and we had a group of around 25 Riders together as they came to the finish in Manchester SD Works lined up with their four riders in the last K Chini followed by keki then Majerus and thebet keki went so fast though through the final turns that she gapped her teammates but rather than pressing on for the win herself she almost breaks in the closing 200 M so then you’re thinking well she must want to gift the wind to Larina viz but then viz she waves masor and doesn’t Sprint herself m then celebrates way too early and Ruby Roseman Ganon sneaks past her before the line to take her first ever win at World Tour level SD works really had egg on their face there they finished second third and fourth on that stage I mean in the greatest scheme of things it’s not a huge blow for that team they came away from that race with three stage wins and the overall classification but how they got that so wrong I do not know anyway well done to L keki the world champion not just on wins over the four days but on the way that she was with the fans particularly the young fans there there were a few Clips going around on social media showing just how much time she was giving them and it meant an awful lot to those youngsters uh moving on the taoris Swiss kicked off yesterday with a prologue around vadu with rain on the forecast most of the big name Riders set off before life coverage had started topping the table was Eve lampart who went around the 4.4k a full 3 seconds quicker than Stefan Biser with Ethan ha in third best of the GC C Riders was y Almia and fourth you can watch the rest of the taller Swiss on Discovery plus this week where you’ll also be able to catch the women’s taller Swiss plus the tour of Belgium which you’ll also be able to watch over on Max in the US and in which we’ll see Philipa Malia and Olaf Koy go up against each other in the Sprint those are not to be missed at the zlm tour an opening time trial win paved the way to a general classification win for Runa herot that’s his first overall win at a race as a pro Casper van Udin of Team DSM Fermin came away with two stage wins himself whilst Peter schulting and Alexander sby took the other two between them Maxim van Hills came away with yet another one- day win at the gr PRI Canon ouro on Friday his results in one day races have been quite exceptional this year while Janny V took his first road win in more than two years at dwor haaland yet more wins were added to the long list of Mariana vos’s palarz last week at the Welter Catalonia uh she took two second places on the three stages plus a win and the overall General classification and it was a onew for visma on the general classification with Rihanna Marcus in second in other news Ellen F djk has fractured her ankle just seven weeks out from the Olympic Games time Tri a Dutch woman crashed whilst out training she’ll have surgery on it but hopes to be back training in two weeks and finally in Transfer News looks like Jacob and Lula are swapping out their GC leader Dan Benson has been reporting that Simon yat is on his way out after spending all of his 11-year professional career with that team whilst Ben o Conor currently with the cathlon ag2r is set to replace him you can read all about that over on our website which is global cycling network.com right that is all for this week’s show thanks as ever for watching I’ll be back to wrap up four more stage races this time next week so I’ll see you then
35 Comments
What order are the ‘big four’ going to finish in?
Remco beat Roglic to win the Vuelta in 2022.
Pogi didn't win MSR, washed
Evenepoel is barely a contender for top 10. Not sure why he is constantly being mentioned.
Vingegaard will only start if he thinks he is able to win, so expect him to be competetive if we see him.
Roglic top 5 at best.
There will be others that will shine as well.
my bet is Vingegaard
Anything else than Pogi win would be a surprise, they have a monster team..so multiple on podium is a real optiom.
Jonas won't be ready and team is all crashed…they don't have the strongest team as past two years, so no chance to win..no wout, kuss not in shape…..
Rogla first needs to heal the shoulder…if you pay attention on his left hand you will see there is severe pain there…but i would really like to see him win tdf…to complete the collection. And surely he deserves a medal for drama in cycling. 😮
Remco could be happy with some stage win and top 10, tdf was hard even for Pogi last two years.
Moreover I think that podium is too far for others.
Primos still has to have his shoulder mend, and then he stands a good chance against Pogacar. Both great riders
Jorgenson is cooking this season if he isn't on the podium of the TDF he should be exiled form visma
My guess is that Vingegaard will come in at 95%, and ride very passively for the first 2 weeks letting Pogi guess who he needs to keep an eye on. It would be great for JV to have Roglic and other teams hunt for yellow had force Poacar to defend. Jonas will not do anything but stay on the wheel for the first 1½ weeks. and then see if his recovery gives him benefits
I predict that it can be a UAE white wash for the podium at tdf if there are t any crashes. ESP considering that Rog almost did it again! Jonas unfortunately may not even start -I think he shouldn’t and instead prepare for Spain.
Pog. Yates and Ayoso/Roglic.
dont underestimate bernal, he will fight for top 5—6
My prediction for TDF is just about the question what a margin will be in Nice! Who will be second undr 5 minutes will be like winner!! Pogi is from another world in this moment…period…Greetings to all ciclist lovers from Croatia!
Vingeguard should use the Tour as a training camp for the Olympics and let the chips fall where they may. Would love for Primoz to win, so I'm going to continue to think only positive thoughts!
Pogi will win big, unless an unexpected crash takes him or his team out. A distant second will be Primoz Roglic (unless he crashes out yet again) and Bora/Red Bull. Third will be Visma and Jonas or Matteo Jorgenson unless Jonas has a miraculous rehab during his recovery Also Wout needs to be there and ready to give up his individual goals. INEOS is my wild card and could surprise us. The talent is there and if Bernal and Rodrigouz are on form it could be awesome and give Pogi a surprising challenge. Sudal, forget about them Remco doesn't have the mental strength for a three-week tour.
vingegaard will win, he might lose a min or so in the first week, but when we get to 3rd week he will be back in peak form and then not even pogi will have a chance
Ah, Jayco…ambitiously aiming for Top 5 or Top 10
Pog (1), Rog, Remco (Top 10), Ving (DNF OR DNS). BUT see Rog 3rd to ANO.
Pogacar, Roglic,Ayuso, Ghee
12:47 June.
Pogi must be laughing his tits off eating his Cocopops watching the Dauphine.
IF and only if he stays off the deck, Roglic will win. But he's almost certainly going to crash, probably several times, so the smart money is on Pog.
It’s the big 3 not 4 what is GCN’s love affair with Remco all about ? He was a long shot before his crash now he’ll be lucky to be top 10 🤔 very poor punditry ☹️
I see pogi taking a 3rd Tour de France…..Jonas Remco Primos no match this year
"Attention, lead car, I need you to hear this. You had one job." 😀
One week stage races, sure. However, it's very premature to say Gee has GC capabilities for Grand Tours!
I want to ask you all analysts to relegate Remco and the closed book of Ving from the top 4 favorites. Bring in Matteo Jorgensen and the Canadian Gee. Talk about those 2 guys who are really coming into true form.
#GCMATTEO
How did SD Worx mess that up? At best, they were trying too hard to spread the spoils of their strength across the team. I won't ding them too hard for that. Or arrogance, overconfidence, whatever. Normally they can back it up, but sometimes it is just too much even for them to handle. AvB needs to have a serious talk to the team, if only about the early celebrations, but also an attitude adjustment, not necessarily to individuals, but as a team. Or just keep going like this, winning more than everyone else, but also making fools of themselves more often than others.
Gonna win 😮 cetonaboy .we are fuk 😢waiting for a real champion
SD Works cannot be happy with their rider losing because they celebrate too early.
Remco will win tdf24! He knows what he is doing 🙌
Pogacar
Roglic
Vingegaard
Ayuso
Project TdF finish: Pogi, Jorgenson, Roglic, Gee
Too early to call. It certainly seems like Jonas hasn't had enough time to be at 100%, but he's shown a remarkable ability to recover in the past. And he's one of the very few riders (if near 100%) who can dominate week 3 even with less help from his team. I think if Jonas bows out this year, it's Tadej's to lose. But if Jonas is able to get to 100% by week 3, Tadej will be regretting his decision to go for the double.
Pogi will win.