Leaked Military Doc: Ukraine Victory ‘IMPOSSIBLE’ As Putin Floats Negotiations

Ryan and Emily discuss Putin floating negotiations as a new leaked French military doc shows Ukraine military victory is impossible.

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Speaking of debacles let’s let’s move on to the war in Ukraine and we can put up this uh this first element here uh Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a fascinating interview which follows on his his Tucker Carlson interview where he hinted that he was open strongly hinted that he was open to Serious

Negotiations about bringing this War uh to an end now uh in an interview that our friend of the show uh Joor kin says that the Kremlin is kind of blasting all over to the world which shows that this is not a gaff this this was a very kind

Of calculated message that he is now sending out he says Russia is ready for peace negotiations with Ukraine based on the realities that have developed on the ground and the the latter part of that uh is clearly an indication that he’s saying we’re going to keep the territory

That we have conquered um but we will you know reach an agreement an enforceable agreement uh that will that would end this War mhm the the question for Ukraine would have to be is this the best deal that they can get uh and can they get a better deal if the United

Let’s let’s say the United States decides that we are going to actually send hundreds of billions of dollars more uh for this war effort is there a world in which with hundreds of billions of dollars hundreds of thousands more uh Ukrainian lives and several years of time Ukraine can conquer back territory

That that Russia has seized and then go to the negotiating table having having reconquered this territory because if that is a possibility you’re going to have people within the Ukrainian government who are going to say that or and the Ukrainian population say we need

To do this you know not not one inch to the Russian Invaders but that’s where we get to this new report in a French investigative uh magazine called Maryanne which is not getting uh picked up here in the United States at all uh but they they obtained a cache of of

Intelligence documents basically um that that include the the French assessment of the Ukrainian capabilities and we can put up this this this article right here people can go check it out uh you could just click the English uh um you just go ahead and click the English translate

Button and you can get the the gist of it but essentially what what they’re saying is some of what we already know um and but they put it in Starker terms that that we that that some that some here in the US uh May realize are appropriate

First of all it it talks about the absolute depletion of Manpower on on the Ukrainian side that you know zeny needs 30,000 conscripts a month he’s getting he’s he’s getting less than half of that whereas Russia is able to pull in 30 30,000 volunteers every month Russia is

Able to cycle in and out its its reserves and its fresh recruits with its with its veterans whereas uh Ukraine is relying often times on entire units that have 3 weeks of training they say that in the 2023 counter offensive um that that was debilitating uh for the for the

Ukrainian troops that they were that they were up against much better trained and equipped troops and also defense is easier than offense uh that and it also says that R the Russians have gotten insanely good at communications jamming the Ukrainian Reliance on drones then relies on Communications and

If you can jam the communications between drone operator and the Drone uh your your drone is now just a flying rock at that point one of the big uh questions I think going forward too for people who want to continue the sort of neoconservative argument that this

Incentivizes Putin to just take back all of the former Soviet territory if you concede one inch of the daboss to Putin he’s next going to immediately invade what Finland and then he’s going to take Sweden and he is going to conquer reconquer Europe um one of the big

Questions I think for that is if if Vladimir Putin right now is willingness down to the table and and discuss these terms and ends up let’s just say hypothetically ends up getting um some territory in the dmas and uh that comes after two years of grueling bloody war

Where he loses hundreds of thousands of Russian men and reclaims some small amount of territory in the danas that was already in many cases contested that was already a war zone uh in many cases and he doesn’t get to keep uh that initial sort of uh that initial Expedition that the Russian military

Took uh was stopped by Western forces was stopped by was halted by Ukraine and then they get into this long stalemate for more than two years is that really granting Putin a permission slip to conquer the rest of Europe is that really your argument as to why we can’t

Sit down and negotiate right now because any negotiation would just give Putin license to take all of Ukraine and then take Poland and then take Finland that’s really your argument at this point that’s really the only good the only possible logic that you can cling to as

A reason not to negotiate uh but it’s stupid yeah and and let’s say you’re a a DieHard supporter of Ukraine and you believe that the invasion was fundamentally evil and needs to be rolled back the question though is which it was it was fundamentally evil and then let’s but the question then becomes

What is the risk and what is the ca of of not entering into negotiations at this point and and the risk is losing further territory and so the the the Maran report um has an entire section underneath the risk of a Russian breakthrough is real and they talk about

How you know in in mid-February uh Ukraine uh abandoned the city of Av Diva we covered that here that was a huge uh it was a huge collapse but what they they but they zero in on kind of the how of that happened one was that the kind

Kind of Russian Advance had found innovative ways to to Target um Ukrainian positions and was able to break through despite them sending an elite Brigade the third as of air assault Brigade to kind of uh butress the their their line and the line collapsed the line collapsed anyway um

They they write uh the decision to retreat by the Ukraine Ukrainian Armed Forces was a surprise uh its suddenness and lack of preparation fearing that this Choice was uh more more endured than decided by the Ukrainian command which was suggesting a possible onset of quote disarray in other words it wasn’t

So it’s not obvious that the Ukrainian military command ordered a retreat so much as that the troops just said we’re out of here and the Ukrainian command was then forced to accept that Retreat it goes on the Ukrainian the Ukrainian and this is key the Ukrainian armed forces have tactically shown that they

Do not possess the human and material capabilities to hold a sector of the front that is subjected to the asant effort the Ukrainian failure navd divka shows that despite the emergency deployment of an elite Brigade ke is not capable of locally restoring a sector of the front that

Collapses uh so what does that mean like if the ukrainians are not capable of holding a sector of a front that is specifically targeted by the Russians that means a break through is is either imminent or possible and that gives uh Putin serious leverage in negotiations because if you have

Shown that you cannot even with your Elite Brigade maintain maintain your line you’re you’re at risk of you know of complete collapse he so Putin also in an in interview with uh State media since I mean I guess it’s ahead of the election is how it’s Being Framed like I’m I’m on

RT right now yeah um after he jailed and killed Nal yeah he yeah he has a um a subheading or RT has a subheading here that says Russia ready for nuclear war uh the quote from Putin is for us the Ukraine conflict is a matter of life and

Death for them it’s a matter of improving their tactical position globally and in Europe he said that Putin insisted that Russia is ready if the US tries to quote play chicken Moscow is prepared to use nuclear weapons and considers its Arsenal quote more advanced than anyone else’s um also

I mean he had some other comments about the war um Putin said for example that when macron said the West should have quote no red lines uh when it comes to Russia Putin replied that is Western politicians fantasizing and riing themselves up um so when he says and

This is very clear it should have been very clear since the beginning for us the Ukraine conflict is a matter of life and death and for them for the West it’s a matter of improving their tactical position globally and in Europe uh he he has more men available to him to fight

This war than Ukraine does the Wall Street Journal report that Ukraine is essentially plucking uh War agen off the street not even not even actually War agen people that are consider older than you would consider uh War agen off the streets military agmen off the streets

Uh because they can’t locate men uh they don’t have enough people to fight the war there was did you see the viral video of like 34 ukrainians who were trying to sneak into Romania and they were caught at the border and the Ukrainian border guards are just like

Beating the hell out of them yeah and and they’re going to take them and then they’re going to push them to the front to the front lines where they’re going to have to fight and get killed and that’s what it means to continue this war yeah like you’re you’re at Bayonet

Point marching people to a to a front that they are not willingly signing up to go and and fight on well and one thing that uh so the neoconservative crowd or the foreign policy establishment has argued over the course of the last two years is that you know

Boris Johnson wasn’t scuttling any real talks or the US you know to uh what what Israel had said wasn’t scuttling any real talks because Putin had not been serious about actually negotiating on serious terms that when Putin was saying he was ready to negotiate with the

United States and with the west and with zinski uh he wasn’t actually serious about that um you know whether or not that’s a good excuse not to sit down with him as an a different debate um but at this point Ryan I think it’s hard to dismiss uh Putin’s overtures here as

Unserious yeah and also I I found this uh Maran report uh from the Twitter account of uh arnob BR trand which I recommend Everybody follow if if you’re not he’s on Twitter he’s r n DB r t r a n d uh off he’s often um finding and then translating you know really

Interesting stuff uh from around around the world so I I high highly recommend that one again just read this Putin quote one more time Russia is ready for peace negotiations with Ukraine based on the realities that have developed on the ground hey if you liked that video don’t

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