Ryan and Emily discuss Putin floating negotiations as a new leaked French military doc shows Ukraine military victory is impossible.
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Speaking of debacles let’s let’s move on to the war in Ukraine and we can put up this uh this first element here uh Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a fascinating interview which follows on his his Tucker Carlson interview where he hinted that he was open strongly hinted that he was open to Serious
Negotiations about bringing this War uh to an end now uh in an interview that our friend of the show uh Joor kin says that the Kremlin is kind of blasting all over to the world which shows that this is not a gaff this this was a very kind
Of calculated message that he is now sending out he says Russia is ready for peace negotiations with Ukraine based on the realities that have developed on the ground and the the latter part of that uh is clearly an indication that he’s saying we’re going to keep the territory
That we have conquered um but we will you know reach an agreement an enforceable agreement uh that will that would end this War mhm the the question for Ukraine would have to be is this the best deal that they can get uh and can they get a better deal if the United
Let’s let’s say the United States decides that we are going to actually send hundreds of billions of dollars more uh for this war effort is there a world in which with hundreds of billions of dollars hundreds of thousands more uh Ukrainian lives and several years of time Ukraine can conquer back territory
That that Russia has seized and then go to the negotiating table having having reconquered this territory because if that is a possibility you’re going to have people within the Ukrainian government who are going to say that or and the Ukrainian population say we need
To do this you know not not one inch to the Russian Invaders but that’s where we get to this new report in a French investigative uh magazine called Maryanne which is not getting uh picked up here in the United States at all uh but they they obtained a cache of of
Intelligence documents basically um that that include the the French assessment of the Ukrainian capabilities and we can put up this this this article right here people can go check it out uh you could just click the English uh um you just go ahead and click the English translate
Button and you can get the the gist of it but essentially what what they’re saying is some of what we already know um and but they put it in Starker terms that that we that that some that some here in the US uh May realize are appropriate
First of all it it talks about the absolute depletion of Manpower on on the Ukrainian side that you know zeny needs 30,000 conscripts a month he’s getting he’s he’s getting less than half of that whereas Russia is able to pull in 30 30,000 volunteers every month Russia is
Able to cycle in and out its its reserves and its fresh recruits with its with its veterans whereas uh Ukraine is relying often times on entire units that have 3 weeks of training they say that in the 2023 counter offensive um that that was debilitating uh for the for the
Ukrainian troops that they were that they were up against much better trained and equipped troops and also defense is easier than offense uh that and it also says that R the Russians have gotten insanely good at communications jamming the Ukrainian Reliance on drones then relies on Communications and
If you can jam the communications between drone operator and the Drone uh your your drone is now just a flying rock at that point one of the big uh questions I think going forward too for people who want to continue the sort of neoconservative argument that this
Incentivizes Putin to just take back all of the former Soviet territory if you concede one inch of the daboss to Putin he’s next going to immediately invade what Finland and then he’s going to take Sweden and he is going to conquer reconquer Europe um one of the big
Questions I think for that is if if Vladimir Putin right now is willingness down to the table and and discuss these terms and ends up let’s just say hypothetically ends up getting um some territory in the dmas and uh that comes after two years of grueling bloody war
Where he loses hundreds of thousands of Russian men and reclaims some small amount of territory in the danas that was already in many cases contested that was already a war zone uh in many cases and he doesn’t get to keep uh that initial sort of uh that initial Expedition that the Russian military
Took uh was stopped by Western forces was stopped by was halted by Ukraine and then they get into this long stalemate for more than two years is that really granting Putin a permission slip to conquer the rest of Europe is that really your argument as to why we can’t
Sit down and negotiate right now because any negotiation would just give Putin license to take all of Ukraine and then take Poland and then take Finland that’s really your argument at this point that’s really the only good the only possible logic that you can cling to as
A reason not to negotiate uh but it’s stupid yeah and and let’s say you’re a a DieHard supporter of Ukraine and you believe that the invasion was fundamentally evil and needs to be rolled back the question though is which it was it was fundamentally evil and then let’s but the question then becomes
What is the risk and what is the ca of of not entering into negotiations at this point and and the risk is losing further territory and so the the the Maran report um has an entire section underneath the risk of a Russian breakthrough is real and they talk about
How you know in in mid-February uh Ukraine uh abandoned the city of Av Diva we covered that here that was a huge uh it was a huge collapse but what they they but they zero in on kind of the how of that happened one was that the kind
Kind of Russian Advance had found innovative ways to to Target um Ukrainian positions and was able to break through despite them sending an elite Brigade the third as of air assault Brigade to kind of uh butress the their their line and the line collapsed the line collapsed anyway um
They they write uh the decision to retreat by the Ukraine Ukrainian Armed Forces was a surprise uh its suddenness and lack of preparation fearing that this Choice was uh more more endured than decided by the Ukrainian command which was suggesting a possible onset of quote disarray in other words it wasn’t
So it’s not obvious that the Ukrainian military command ordered a retreat so much as that the troops just said we’re out of here and the Ukrainian command was then forced to accept that Retreat it goes on the Ukrainian the Ukrainian and this is key the Ukrainian armed forces have tactically shown that they
Do not possess the human and material capabilities to hold a sector of the front that is subjected to the asant effort the Ukrainian failure navd divka shows that despite the emergency deployment of an elite Brigade ke is not capable of locally restoring a sector of the front that
Collapses uh so what does that mean like if the ukrainians are not capable of holding a sector of a front that is specifically targeted by the Russians that means a break through is is either imminent or possible and that gives uh Putin serious leverage in negotiations because if you have
Shown that you cannot even with your Elite Brigade maintain maintain your line you’re you’re at risk of you know of complete collapse he so Putin also in an in interview with uh State media since I mean I guess it’s ahead of the election is how it’s Being Framed like I’m I’m on
RT right now yeah um after he jailed and killed Nal yeah he yeah he has a um a subheading or RT has a subheading here that says Russia ready for nuclear war uh the quote from Putin is for us the Ukraine conflict is a matter of life and
Death for them it’s a matter of improving their tactical position globally and in Europe he said that Putin insisted that Russia is ready if the US tries to quote play chicken Moscow is prepared to use nuclear weapons and considers its Arsenal quote more advanced than anyone else’s um also
I mean he had some other comments about the war um Putin said for example that when macron said the West should have quote no red lines uh when it comes to Russia Putin replied that is Western politicians fantasizing and riing themselves up um so when he says and
This is very clear it should have been very clear since the beginning for us the Ukraine conflict is a matter of life and death and for them for the West it’s a matter of improving their tactical position globally and in Europe uh he he has more men available to him to fight
This war than Ukraine does the Wall Street Journal report that Ukraine is essentially plucking uh War agen off the street not even not even actually War agen people that are consider older than you would consider uh War agen off the streets military agmen off the streets
Uh because they can’t locate men uh they don’t have enough people to fight the war there was did you see the viral video of like 34 ukrainians who were trying to sneak into Romania and they were caught at the border and the Ukrainian border guards are just like
Beating the hell out of them yeah and and they’re going to take them and then they’re going to push them to the front to the front lines where they’re going to have to fight and get killed and that’s what it means to continue this war yeah like you’re you’re at Bayonet
Point marching people to a to a front that they are not willingly signing up to go and and fight on well and one thing that uh so the neoconservative crowd or the foreign policy establishment has argued over the course of the last two years is that you know
Boris Johnson wasn’t scuttling any real talks or the US you know to uh what what Israel had said wasn’t scuttling any real talks because Putin had not been serious about actually negotiating on serious terms that when Putin was saying he was ready to negotiate with the
United States and with the west and with zinski uh he wasn’t actually serious about that um you know whether or not that’s a good excuse not to sit down with him as an a different debate um but at this point Ryan I think it’s hard to dismiss uh Putin’s overtures here as
Unserious yeah and also I I found this uh Maran report uh from the Twitter account of uh arnob BR trand which I recommend Everybody follow if if you’re not he’s on Twitter he’s r n DB r t r a n d uh off he’s often um finding and then translating you know really
Interesting stuff uh from around around the world so I I high highly recommend that one again just read this Putin quote one more time Russia is ready for peace negotiations with Ukraine based on the realities that have developed on the ground hey if you liked that video don’t
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22 Comments
These two are as dumb as rocks
Its not about more men……in modern warfare, its about the technological edge…..please bear in mind….who ever is promoting this war is looking down a dark road of total destruction. "HE WHO RUNS AWAY FROM A FIGHT WILL LIVE TO FIGHT ANOTHER DAY".
BTW, the headline is an outright lie. But what else would you expect from Putin pals.
We are suicidal in Europe.
That’s a complete lie they cling to she have no idea I have a suggestion let send all women and man that believe the lie to go fight 😂
population of Crimea and Donbass is near 100% russians and they wanted to join Russia back, instead, they were forbidden to speak their native language. ask anybody in Crimea if they voted to join Russia and you'll get positive answer. this thing will not work for other countries like Sweden, so talks about russian invasion into Europe is just a speculation and lie. Ukraine was allowed to identify itself as an independent country after USSR, now its their turn to let their regions decide who agrees to accept illegal government after coup d'état and who doesn't
Wish y’all commented on Medvedev’s recent Tweet where he detailed his delusional terms for peace. I’m not even a war hawk, but based on Medvedev’s terms, peace IS impossible and it’s not the West’s fault.
Western Media: Putin has lost and Ukraine is winning🙄🙄🙄🙄.
It won't be a permanent peace.. Putin will rest his military rearm with the sanctions gone. Then start up again in a year. He's not going to stop..
Thats a surprise. I was always under the impression that Ukrainian troops are very close to Moscow.
war cant end…. its an election year in the US…. if it ends, Democorat and media propagandists would look like a loser and stupid war mongers… for starting, pushing and miscalculated the war in ukraine…. wasting 100s of billions of tax payers money on a war that should have never started….
but wackzenzky said ONLY 33K HAVE DIED… silly no? THE MEDIA SHOULD FUND UKRAINE
He's expressed NO desire for the conquest of European territory. This is the "Boogeyman" narrative America used to dissuade negotiation.
The invasion was predicated 10 years ago, on Neuland's staged coup in Maidon. The objective being Russian degradation, with the hopes of starting a civil war.
His restraint has been remarkable.
Yes, it’s a debacle. Why are we even considering dumping billions more on a dumpster fire? Isn’t it revealing that inner city Democrats in congress are frantically screaming for more Ukraine aid?
I feel sorry for Zelensky and the rest of the Ukrainian leadership. Strung along by the West for years on end into applying for NATO, then made a celebrity by Western media and promised full modern military support only to be drip fed small amounts of equipment until Western production capacity fell short & the attention deficit Americans inevitably lost interest
Ukraine should take a deal before Russia takes all of Ukraine. America will stop all support once this election goes through. They have a ticking time bomb of having any negotiation weight, as when Trump gets elected they lose the entire country.
i'd like for orthodox Christians to quit killing each other in the name of globalism. don't think for a second that the power elite don't see this as a win either way. They want people who believe only in them or nothing at all.
Does BP and the commentors here know what EEZ stands for and it's importance to the Black Sea?
All funding to Ukraine should be cut, waste of our tax dollars and military equipment…
Russia can't win. My bad i mean Ukraine
Apparently, the much-ridiculed NK weapons are a big help to Russia against advanced Western weapons. Never underestimate your opponent.
Russia will be bankrupt AGAIN and soon! (Like they were in 1991) Russia is on track for FULL bankruptcy by 2027